Chapter 1520: No Change
Before the two women got up, Simon had already arrived in San Francisco.
In addition to accompanying the women and children here, the next two days will be a series of meetings on weekends specially arranged with Simon's schedule, involving Ygritte, Tinkbel, Cisco and other new technologies of the Westeros system. giant.
Simon wants to sort out all the companies to make sure he knows what he knows.
After entering 1999, the Nasdaq index, which was still rising continuously, had already rushed to a high of 5,000 points in the previous July.
Yesterday, August 6, the Nasdaq closed at 5,436 points. With the current growth momentum, it will not be a problem to break through the high of 7,045 points in March 1997 before the end of the year.
Simon doesn't know how high he can go in the end.
Then there are the specific technology stocks. The most representative company, Eaglet, still leads the Nasdaq. It also closed on August 6, and its market value has reached 713.4 billion US dollars.
Not surprisingly, it is only a matter of time before the market value of Eaglet breaks through the trillion mark and becomes the first listed company with a market value of one trillion in this big market.
Faced with the fact that Nasdaq no longer follows the upward curve of the previous trend at all, Simon has thought a lot.
At first I was apprehensive.
Will all this be a bigger bubble?
However, as time went by and he thought more, Simon became more and more sure of many things.
Still not confident enough at first.
Probably, even if I have the advantage of being a human being in two lifetimes, I can't help but feel that it is impossible for me to achieve much more than before. After all, the previous trend of new technology was created by a group of top elites in the world.
Let's talk about the Nasdaq.
The former Nasdaq index briefly broke through 5,000 points at the peak of the technology stock bubble in 2000, and then plummeted for several consecutive years. When did it break through 5,000 points again?
Five years later?
Ten years later?
No, it was 2015, exactly 15 years later.
But this time, in just three years, the Nasdaq index has broken through 5,000 points twice in a row, and even reached 7,000 points for the first time! Not only that, the current wave of market prices may rise to a higher level, and it is not impossible to reach 8,000 points or higher.
Are these reasonable?
Have you really surpassed yourself?
However, the truth is, Simon really did.
Let’s talk about the Internet wave. Once the information industry began to accelerate its development, the node was 1995, the rapid popularization of Netscape browser and the birth of Yahoo.
But this time, Simon directly advanced the process by 5 years. In 1990, the IE browser was launched. At the same time, Eaglet's portal website, which was much ahead of the initial Yahoo, was also officially launched.
This is actually equivalent to the Internet industry in this time and space. As of 1999, the development time has been nearly 10 years, instead of just five years.
Moreover, relying on the advantages of Simon II, many mature business models of the Internet industry are directly launched. It is no longer the first bubble bull market like it used to be. Most new technology companies, including Yahoo, are still in the stage of concept speculation. , did not form enough revenue and profit to support the high stock price.
This time, take the most representative Ygritte as an example.
This Internet giant, which has actually entered its 11th year of establishment, is expected to not only officially break through the US$50 billion threshold in 1999, but also reach between US$55 billion and US$57 billion.
Even if half of the revenue share is from e-commerce retail that can fill the book data, but compared with companies such as Yahoo in the same period, it is still absolutely terrifying.
Let’s talk about Tinkber, an electronic product giant that is actually closely related to the concept of the Internet. Not to mention peripheral accessories such as USB flash drives and interface converters, it is just the core electronic products such as icam and ipyer. In 1997, the total sales volume exceeded 100 million units.
In the ongoing 1999 year, according to the sales data of the first two quarters, it is estimated that the total shipments of the main products will reach more than 160 million units in the whole year, and the revenue scale is even higher than that of Tinkobel, which is expected to reach 630 million units. billion to $65 billion.
These real and dazzling revenue data, and what they represent not only the company itself, but also the strong drive to all aspects of the industrial chain, are absolutely incomparable to the first wave of new technology that was basically in a bubble state. The economic fundamentals that are sufficient to support the current Nasdaq high index.
The castles in the air created by the mirage are destined to dissipate, but the high-rise buildings that are built brick by brick from the foundation can naturally stand still.
After all, as the most powerful country in the world, everyone, including the former Simon, will inevitably look more highly. However, the fact is that after the Nasdaq index fell back to less than 5,000 in 2000, it did not return to 5,000 until 15 years later. Why?
Because the development of various industries in this country is far from being as aggressive and progressive as the outside world imagined, on the contrary, it is unimaginably conservative.
The most direct example is that a subway has not been completed for 20 years, and there is already a train.
Some people may be able to identify thousands of reasons for this matter, because the automobile industry is not needed for development, because labor unions block it, and because private land makes it difficult to expropriate land, there are all kinds of reasons, but these thousands of reasons just happen to hinder the continued rapid development of this country s reason.
The reason why Simon has been able to do everything in recent years, and even directly advance the development process of an industry by many years, is that Simon, as an emerging capital, still has enough development momentum.
At the same time, more importantly, because the Internet is an emerging industry, it does not touch too many interests of too many vested interests. On the contrary, more people can benefit together, and this can make rapid progress.
Furthermore, Simon gradually became more and more confident.
The advantages brought by the two generations, coupled with his own strong capital strength, Simon understands that he is indeed stronger than those guys before. After all, he doesn't need to grope, he directly knows what to do, which direction to work hard, and how to avoid possible obstacles.
Of course, while understanding this, Simon actually realized something.
As the country, or even the world, the biggest vested interest in emerging industries in the new era, Simon himself may one day become a conservative force, and in order to ensure his own advantages, he begins to hinder the development of this society.
This is the nature of vested interests.
the nature of capital.
Just like a truth that Simon understood a long time ago, even if he, the controller of the Westeros system, is not conservative, the entire capital system, in order to pursue its own interests and prevent the emergence of competitors, will change management at all levels. Be conservative.
So, how to solve this problem?
In fact, there is a way.
Just as Simon used the power of the Westeros system to forcibly drag the new technology industry to advance by leaps and bounds in the past few years, if necessary, Simon can also forcibly drag the gradually conservative Westeros system to continue moving forward.
This requires a premise.
That is, Simon must maintain an absolutely strong control over the entire Westeros system.
That's right.
betheabsoluteking!
In fact, this is like an inappropriate idea that Simon once had, which can be called outrageous in this era, will be dragged to the gallows by the progressive youths, then put into the frying pan, and finally shot again: human beings need class.
An army of man-eating ants in Africa can easily devour an elephant.
However, if the ants lose their class-distinct gregariousness and feel that everyone is equal, free, and democratic, why should I attack the elephant for the benefit of the entire group? My feet were trampled to death, thanks to me. Why doesn't the queen go?
At this level, man-eating ants may not even be able to deal with an insect.
Given the harsh natural environment in Africa, man-eating ants that have 'evolved' to this stage are probably not far from extinction.
Well, outrageous!
Hang him!
In fact, it's like the sci-fi movie Simon once watched.
Lose your humanity, lose a lot, lose your bestiality, lose everything.
Should we choose to perish in order to maintain our noble humanity? Or, in order to survive, choose animal nature, choose the biological instinct of natural selection formed over millions of years?
Obviously, the author of that book chose the former.
Simon chose the latter.
Moreover, Simon does not agree with the description of the Great Trough.
Because in reality, most of the scientific and technological foundations for the rapid development of human beings around the millennium, such as semiconductors, the Internet, nuclear technology, space technology, etc., are actually the two world wars that gathered a lot of social resources to explore the upper limit of technology. and the subsequent Cold War era.
Then, entering the 'new era', as a certain public figure that Simon doesn't remember said, the most intelligent brains of mankind seldom choose to explore the limits of technology, but flock to Wall Street and Silicon Valley, One is to study how to buy short and sell short to maximize profits, and the other is to study how to push advertisements to users most accurately.
Why?
Because the society is open and the world is peaceful, people don't need to work hard on such fundamental issues as survival.
So technology stalled.
The author's setting is actually a misunderstanding of the limitations of the times and inertia. Again, to attribute the development of the West to the enlightened society and the emancipation of the mind, the result is the cause. So I feel that the progress of science and technology needs the enlightenment of the society and the liberation of the mind.
Just like another well-known cognition that the result is the cause, the development of the West is the result of democracy and freedom.
Simon didn't bother to say much about it.
Back to the development of technology.
Do human beings really no longer need to work hard for survival?
Science and technology are primary productive forces.
Many people began to know this sentence when they were very young. However, probably few people can understand how many thousands of years of human history and development are hidden in this simple sentence that looks like a slogan. .
In any case, only by constantly exploring the upper limit of technology can we continuously improve productivity and human beings have enough social resources to ensure the simplest thing, survival! Conversely, if technology stagnates and the existing productivity remains unchanged, social resources will be exhausted sooner or later.
When the time comes, what should we do?
Simple.
Just like the reincarnation of countless dynasties in Chinese history.
Some people may think, reincarnation is reincarnation.
Reincarnation has a price.
what price?
You can check the proportion of population loss after each dynasty reincarnation in China.
The highest, 80%.
The bones of the dead are exposed in the wild, and there is no rooster crowing for thousands of miles.
The cruel reality is that as long as enough people die, the remaining social resources will naturally be sufficient again.
Human beings have entered a new era, thinking that they will no longer experience the kind of reincarnation they once had. In fact, we are only in the best era in our long thousands of years of historical development, and some fundamental things have never changed.