Chapter 1193 2nd Meeting Ends

[======  Hand  Type  =====]        The power comparison between the two warring parties is very different. "The Iraq War has basically become a suspenseful war.

However, the impact of this war on the world economy is full of suspense.

As the war situation becomes increasingly clear, major economic organizations in the world have recently predicted that the world economic growth rate will remain above 3% this year. The US economy is the most affected by the war.

Due to the expected impact of the war on Iraq, the consumer confidence index has been greatly affected, which is obviously not conducive to economic recovery, especially when international oil prices begin to rise.

Fan Wubing sees this very clearly. The economic response before each war is almost the same. When the war is looming, or When the forecast for future wars is still unclear, international oil prices generally rise. After the war begins, the war situation becomes clearer, international oil prices will fall, and the US stock market will begin to rebound, and the US dollar exchange rate will continue to strengthen.

Therefore, in response to the current situation, Fan Investment Group has also begun to make profits in the futures market and the stock market. If it is operated properly, it will be a small supplement to earn hundreds of billions of dollars.

However, Fan Wubing carefully observed the views of some mainstream media. Most of them believe that the Iraq War will not last long and will be beneficial to the world economy this year, but it should also be noted that the development of different regions and countries after the war will be more unbalanced.

The war has the greatest positive effect on the US economy, and the arms related to the war The industrial sector will benefit. Iraq's post-war reconstruction will bring a large number of orders to American companies, and domestic investment and consumer confidence in the United States will increase accordingly. Britain, which actively participates in the war, will also benefit greatly, while Russia, France and Germany will receive less war dividends. Therefore, the war will lead to an imbalance in economic growth in these countries.

War cannot fundamentally solve the internal contradictions of the US economy, nor will it change the economic strength comparison of major countries.

Some people also believe that there is no doubt that the United States can win the war. But it may not necessarily win economic growth, because the many problems facing the US economy will not be solved by the Iraq War.

First of all, it is because war cannot solve the problem of overcapacity in the new economy. The economic recession in the United States in recent years is due to The new economy represented by the fourth industry has an overcapacity in production. Although the war will help to digest the new economy's production capacity to a certain extent, its effect is limited.

Secondly, the peak of the US real estate industry is passing. After the stock market bubble burst, Americans lost about 7 trillion US dollars. In recent years, the booming real estate industry has become the main force driving the US economy. Through the appreciation of real estate, Americans have been compensated for their losses in the stock market by 3000 to 4000 billion US dollars.

However, in the recent period, the vacancy rate of houses in the United States has reached 20%. Even if the war is won, it will not expand people's demand for real estate.

In addition, the exports of many manufacturing industries other than the arms industry are not good. Due to the economic downturn in Europe and Japan, the US manufacturing exports have been greatly affected. The war is unlikely to bring too many positive factors to the recovery of the European and Japanese economies, so the US manufacturing exports will not see the dawn in the short term.

Although the war will stimulate some industrial sectors in the United States, it is still unknown how long this war boom can last. Due to the huge war expenditures. The US fiscal deficit and international current account deficit have increased significantly. The negative impact of the double deficit on the US economy cannot be underestimated.

Will the trend of the US dollar remain strong? How much will the oil price fall? Will OPEC limit production to maintain prices? These are all unknowns.

At this time, Iraq's oil exports have limited impact on world oil prices. Oil price fluctuations are mainly caused by international capital speculation and public psychological panic. However, once the Americans win, Iraq's post-war reconstruction will need to export a large amount of oil to pay for it. The export volume is naturally incomparable to the original implementation of the United Nations Oil for Food Program. The end of the war, coupled with the factor of Iraq's increased oil exports, has made the decline in world oil prices inevitable, which will be conducive to world economic growth. However, for each specific country, the situation is very different.

The oil companies of the United States and Britain control 70% of the oil resources in Arab countries. The victory of the Iraq War will further consolidate their position and the oil sources of the two countries will be more secure. For France, Germany, Japan and the vast developing countries, the oil sources may be increasingly subject to the United States and Britain. Energy security issues may become a new insecurity factor.

The Russian economy is in the process of recovery, and the rise in international oil prices will be an important driving force for Russia's economic recovery. Once the Iraq war is over, the drop in oil prices will have a significant impact on Russia's economy.

One of the foundations of the Russian federal budget this year is that the price of crude oil remains around $25 per barrel. If the price of oil falls below $20 per barrel, Russia's budget plan for this year will fail, and Putin will feel very headache.

Experts also believe that the impact of the Iraq war is to make the economic globalization process a reality. The global anti-globalization wave is developing rapidly. This time, the United States is promoting unilateralism and intends to launch a war against Iraq without the United Nations, which has led to a global anti-war wave. This sentiment will definitely continue after the war. Become a force to promote anti-globalization.

In the past two decades, with the rapid economic growth in Asia, especially East Asia, the economic relations between the United States and Asian countries have developed rapidly. By last year, the U.S. international current account deficit was US$500 billion, of which more than US$200 billion was generated in Asia.

According to statistics from the International Monetary Fund, at the end of last year, the world's foreign exchange reserves totaled more than 230 billion US dollars, about 60% of which were owned by Asian countries. Most of the foreign exchange reserves of Asian countries were invested in various types of investments in the United States. Bonds and Stock Markets.

It can be said that it is Asian countries that support the strong position of the US dollar. At the same time, the arc from the Middle East and Central Asia to South Asia and East Asia has seen constant conflicts and complex situations in recent years, making it a problem area that has attracted the attention of the United States. therefore. After the Iraq War. The United States will further strengthen its ties with Asian countries in political, military and economic aspects.

It is foreseeable that the impact of the Iraq War on the world economy will go far beyond whether to stimulate economic growth. Although from the perspective of stimulating U.S. economic growth, the military expenditures brought about by this war and the post-war reconstruction of Iraq are a stimulus.

However, this war will be a major trauma for Iraq and the Middle East. How many years of wealth have been destroyed. It is also a destruction of human wealth and a damage to human development. From the perspective of American taxpayers, a large amount of tax revenue that could have been used to increase social welfare and promote the development of civilian science and technology is used on arms that cannot be consumed by people. This itself is also a huge waste.

Of course, the expected impact of the war in Iraq is not the only factor affecting the domestic economy.

Due to the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic, a series of market development, business exchanges and other activities planned by many local governments have been significantly affected. The annual investment promotion activities have been affected and some have been postponed. Compared with the same period, the transaction volume dropped by almost 80% compared with the previous session. Due to the epidemic in China, although the mainland government has been emphasizing that it does not matter and the impact is minimal, the international response has been obvious. For example, Fan Investment A branch of the group organized a delegation to participate in a business event in Vladimir, Russia, but was unable to make the trip due to difficulties in obtaining a visa. The Philippine Commodity Exhibition, which was originally planned to be held in March, was also postponed to August.

influenced by. Most of the samples sold were for light industry, crafts, and weaving products such as linen and linen. Orders dropped significantly, new customers for motorcycle products decreased, and export orders for frozen pork and other agricultural products dropped significantly.

at the same time. Neighboring countries began to respond to the domestic epidemic, and the logistics of import and export goods was affected. Myanmar has suspended China-Myanmar border trade activities. The Xinjiang section of the China-Mongolia border and the China-Pakistan Khunjerab port have been temporarily closed. Lithuania has banned the import of animal-source foods and animals, raw materials, feeds, feed additives, etc. from China, Thailand, and Vietnam.

At present, some subsidiaries of the company also report that the governments or importers of countries such as Spain and the United Kingdom require domestic companies to issue virus-free certificates for exported goods. Some importers from the UK and France have also requested that Chinese inspection and inspection agencies issue sterilization certificates for exported clothing, rubber, cartons and other products. These have increased the export costs of enterprises.

In view of the obstruction of face-to-face business activities, the Foreign Economic and Trade Committee proposed to vigorously develop sub-commerce and maintain normal trade order as much as possible.

Under this leading idea, the Foreign Economic and Trade Commission recommended a number of online trade websites to key enterprises, including the e-commerce platform built by Fanshi Investment Group. At the same time, Fan Wubing also held talks with the person in charge of the Foreign Economic and Trade Commission and agreed to provide him with free support for the production of three-dimensional advertisements on the website and the release of business information on the website platform of Fanshi Investment Group, and to provide support for the e-commerce of Fanshi Investment Group. The platform establishes a trade bridge for various enterprises and provides the latest financial, insurance and other information services.

After receiving strong support from Fan Wubing, the Foreign Economic and Trade Commission also began to step up the development and construction of the import and export commodity database. Special funds were provided by the central government to speed up the trial operation of the port logistics network and set up online negotiations and online transactions for enterprises. platform.

At the same time, the central government has also stated that it will provide all foreign economic and trade enterprises with a three-month online training course on e-commerce, and provide online tutoring and Q&A. To improve the application capabilities of corporate e-commerce.

all in all. Although ** has not officially entered the high-level topic, some work has actually begun to be carried out, especially Fan's Investment Group, which has begun to prepare for the arrival of the epidemic. Made all kinds of preparations.

Chapter 1,193 Closing of the Two Sessions

The two sessions were finally held as scheduled. The transition between the old and new leadership teams is a major event, making this year's Two Sessions particularly eye-catching.

What makes Fan Wubing quite satisfied is that at this time's Two Sessions, six of the eleven new Central Committee members are local leaders supported by the Fan family.

This incident can also show that Fan Heng's power has grown greatly during this meeting, and if you add in the fact that there are other military and political figures in the offensive and defensive alliance who have good relations with each other, at this time Fan Heng's power has greatly increased. It can influence more than 30 Central Committee committee-level leaders, which can be said to be a quite powerful group force.

Of course, if the peripheral members are added, the influence will be even greater. Fan Wubing dare not imagine this. However, the Fan family does not have any other extravagant hopes, and it is impossible for them to usurp the party and seize power. The reason why everyone can come together is nothing more than that Fan Investment Group has established an inseparable interest relationship with these people in previous economic activities.

There is a saying that goes well, there are no eternal friends, no eternal enemies, only eternal interests.

Of course. It is impossible that only a part of the people see this. When the two sessions closed successfully, the most important news media in China interviewed Fan Wubing. Of course, Fan Wubing did not enter the National People's Congress or the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference. He only attended some meetings of the two sessions as a special adviser to the State Council. In name, he was probably similar to an observer.

The questions raised were of course some clichés, such as what are your expectations for the new leadership team, what direction will China's economy take in the next few years, the impact of the globalized economy on China, and whether e-commerce has a future in China, etc.

For these more brain-dead questions, Fan Wubing had to be patient and slowly talk nonsense with them, pulling out a set of theories that also fooled everyone to evade them.

Only later, a media from the south asked Fan Wubing if he knew about the SARS outbreak in Guangzhou.

"I have heard about it a little bit." Fan Wubing answered cautiously.

So far, the top leaders have not expressed their views on this issue. Although the Beijing local government has talked about this issue when responding to media reports, everything has to stand aside at the current two sessions. Therefore, whether it is the Beijing local government or the Ministry of Health, when facing questions about SARS, the answers are quite consistent, that is, it is true, but it is not serious. Everything is under control and it is impossible for a large-scale outbreak. At the same time, they also said that this will not pose any threat to the tourism industry and still welcome friends from all over the world to visit the mainland.

In view of this, Fan Wubing cannot wantonly exaggerate the seriousness of this matter. After all, his identity is sensitive. He can take precautions in some matters, but if he can't shut his mouth, the consequences will be very serious.

This does not mean that the official dares to do something to him, but that in terms of his influence, if he publicly disagrees with the government, it will make the top leaders feel very embarrassed, and he always has to take care of the face of the top leaders.

As for private matters, Fan Wubing didn't mind arguing with them until his face turned red.

But with the media present at this time, Fan Wubing couldn't say that he knew nothing about it. After all, Fan's Investment Group had already started large-scale donations in Guangzhou and had close cooperation with the municipal government's prevention and control work. At the same time, the company had also begun to issue emergency plans for the prevention of infectious diseases, etc., and conducted emergency inspections for employees and held relevant knowledge lectures to improve everyone's awareness of prevention and control.

Therefore, Fan Wubing simply said two sentences, "Infectious diseases. Sometimes there will definitely be one or two times, but if everyone improves their awareness of prevention and control and strengthens their own maintenance, they can avoid the occurrence of epidemics to the greatest extent. From this aspect, as long as the people's living standards are improved and the living environment is improved, these problems will naturally be easily eliminated. So even if there is such a thing, there is no need to panic, just do a good job of personal protection, and at the same time, everyone must fully trust the government. Apart from anything else, from last year alone, the infectious disease prevention and control base jointly built by our Fan's Investment Group and the government has been built. This shows that, The government has a long-term vision and has always been very concerned about the safety of people's lives. "

At the end, Fan Wubing glanced over and found that CCTV reporters were also standing next to him with cameras, and there was a female reporter holding several microphones who looked very familiar. She was a senior reporter he had met when he went to CCTV before, so he changed the subject and said a few more words, "I believe that under the correct guidance of the new central leadership, there are no ditches and bumps that China cannot overcome, and everyone should have more confidence in our country."

After dealing with these reporters, Fan Wubing was about to leave by car under the escort of the staff, when he saw Ziqi running over and squeezed into his car.

The weather was a bit gloomy, and there were a few raindrops, so Ziqi's hair looked a little wet. It was obvious that she had been outside for a long time.

"You came here to interview too? The anchor still does this?" Fan Wubing asked in surprise.

Ziqi wiped her hair with a dry towel in the car, then smiled and said, "I'm from the economic channel. We are also very concerned about the discussion of some economic topics at the two sessions, especially since there are many representatives from the business community attending the meeting recently. It's easier to interview them if we come here to intercept them."

"Then why don't you interview me?" Fan Wubing said with a smile.

"You are just attending, not a formal representative." Ziqi rolled his eyes at him.

Fan Wubing patted his head and thought that this was the reason. No wonder no one paid attention to him when he was in there, but when he came out, he was surrounded by a large group of people, and the questions were also about the economy. Maybe they regarded him as a passerby who actively supported the new central leadership.

In fact, it was because the senior reporter of the Economic Channel who had been following the two sessions suddenly had a fever and was hospitalized, so Ziqi came to make a temporary guest appearance. She had her show to be broadcast in the evening, so it was naturally unlikely that she would stay here for too long.

"If a colleague has a fever, you should also pay attention to keeping distance. Why don't you use the mask I gave you?" Fan Wubing thought of this and asked with a frown.

"I'm interviewing the representatives of the two sessions. You want me to wear a big mask too?" Ziqi scolded.

Fan Wubing smiled and thought it was indeed inappropriate.

Now is a sensitive period. Although the official has repeatedly emphasized that everything is safe, in fact, everyone is actively spreading gossip in private, especially these representatives. It is estimated that after leaving the venue and returning to the hotel, they immediately put on big masks, but in public, they still have to avoid it. After all, this matter cannot be publicized.

In fact, it is also difficult for the media to do it. During the two sessions. Guangdong representatives attending the National People's Congress proposed a motion to consider seeking international assistance to control major epidemics without affecting national security. Zhong Nanshan, the leader of the Guangdong SARS Expert Guidance Group, and Huang Wenjie, the deputy leader, both believe that when some major epidemics and unknown viruses appear and occur, it is difficult for a country's medical science power alone to solve them.

During the two sessions, a newspaper with a circulation of more than one million copies in Guangdong interviewed a person in charge of the Ministry of Health of the People's Republic of China and expressed his views on Guangdong's prevention of SARS. The deputy minister believed that Guangdong's prevention was lagging behind and made sharp criticisms.

After the report was issued, it caused dissatisfaction among Guangdong leaders and reported to the central government.

The newspaper was criticized by the Central Propaganda Department and a document was issued stipulating that reports on SARS should generally use general drafts and should not be reported at will. The newspaper of this issue has been fully recovered and the website of the newspaper has removed the interview draft.

While Hong Kong media have accused the Guangdong authorities of concealing the SARS epidemic, the newspaper was punished for reporting on the SARS incident in Guangzhou. The editor-in-chief was forced to write a self-criticism, which took a lot of effort to pass.

In fact, at first, the Guangzhou media reported on the SARS incident in Guangzhou step by step with caution and trial.

Around February 8, some Guangzhou citizens discovered that the news about the SARS epidemic in Guangdong broadcast by Hong Kong Asia Television and TVB was not covered up by the local government as sensitive news as in the past. So, the newspaper was the first to report the incident, and then other Guangzhou media followed up. These reports were ordered to stop after the local government announced the SARS epidemic in Guangzhou on February 11.

When talking about this matter, Fan Wubing used four words to comment, "covering one's ears and stealing the bell."

Regarding this issue, Fan Wubing specifically called Tong Yushan to inquire about it, but Tong Yushan said that he was not aware of the news and had not gone through his procedures. It was thought that the order was directly given to the department through a minister or deputy minister of the Propaganda Department. After all, it does not take much energy to clean up a small newspaper. In fact, it only takes one member of the Central Committee to come forward to get it done.

What's more, the leader of Guangdong Province is at least a big man with a position in the Politburo. It is also very easy to do this.

Fan Wubing nodded after hearing this, thinking that it was best if it was not your responsibility, otherwise, if the accounts were settled later, those who made the decision would not look good. However, Fan Wubing still congratulated Tong Yushan, because this time he officially joined the ranks of the Central Committee members, and also became an alternate member of the Political Bureau, which was a rare progress.

Although it is only an alternate member of the Political Bureau, the meaning is very different from that of the Central Committee members. Once there is an opportunity, you can immediately be promoted to the Political Bureau and officially become a vice-state-level leader.

However, Fan Wubing soon received an invitation from the new leader to attend an internal meeting. ==========    Provide you with the fastest and latest online novels  Our website is      Pinyin initials  +  NET    Mobile users use browsing  ===============

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