Extraordinary Genius

Chapter 1816: The Crash Is Coming

After Kirilenko and the others heard Feng Yu's analysis, they all looked at a loss.

"Feng, what kind of good news is it for the two rooms to be taken over by the government of the United States?"

Feng Yu felt that a lot of what he had said before was in vain. These people's financial sense is really bad!

"This means that the two Fangfang Group will drag down the overall economy of the United States, and the financial crisis in the United States will inevitably erupt completely, which will trigger high-energy negatives in the financial market."

Kirilenko and the others can still understand the word bearish. In other words, financial markets are about to plummet.

Fu Guangwei couldn't believe it: "Brother Feng, the stock market in the United States has already fallen so much, and it's going to drop sharply?"

Although the stock market in the United States has fallen a lot, because there is the largest amount of investment there, the stock market has not yet collapsed.

The bankruptcy of Rayman Brothers has already made the stock market in the United States become turbulent. As long as there is another major negative news at this time, the American government will no longer be able to hold the stock market.

In fact, not only the stock market, but also the prices of commodities such as crude oil and gold will inevitably fall sharply.

When bad news is flying all over the sky, although it is also the time when opportunities are the most, more investors must choose to hold money instead of those financial products.

Therefore, once it is revealed that the Liangfang Group is taken over by the U.S. government, then the high-energy bad news in the financial market will appear, and the crude oil will inevitably plummet, and the stock market will inevitably plummet.

Fu Guang was stepping on Fu Guangwei's foot under the table, and at the same time said with a smile: "Feng Yu, so the crude oil futures we invest in are about to enter a period of high-speed profit again?"

Fu Guangzheng gave Fu Guangwei a blank look, you can ask if you don't understand, but why show that suspicious look?

It's okay to doubt others, but how can you doubt Feng Yu? For so many years, did Feng Yu make a mistake in his judgment on the financial market?

Follow those who make money, but also so much nonsense! You look at Kirilenko, look at He Laosan, learn a little bit!

"Of course, the price of crude oil is not falling fast now. Many people think that it will be almost enough for crude oil to fall to around US$80, and crude oil will re-enter a period of stable fluctuations around US$10."

"But if there is a high-energy negative, then the price of crude oil will fall all the way, falling below the true value of crude oil, so that our profits will become higher!"

Fifty or sixty dollars, this is the true value of crude oil that everyone generally believes, but Feng Yu also told them that the United States has started to get that shale oil, and the cost of shale oil is about sixty dollars or more. The reasonable price should be seventy or eighty dollars.

But when the financial crisis broke out, this so-called reasonable price will definitely be broken, there is no doubt about it.

Kirilenko asked again at this time: "Feng, didn't you say that the fall in the stock market will stimulate investors to invest money in other financial products? If the stock market plummets, the hot money will not flow into the futures market? "

Fu Guangwei also had a look of thirst for knowledge, and he thought so too.

Feng Yu shook his head: "Under normal circumstances, it is normal to think so. But if this bad news affects the entire financial market, it will trigger a decline across the board and a real financial crisis will erupt."

"When these investments are likely to lose money, are you willing to invest? Do you think it is safer to hold the money in your hands? At this time, will you also sell many financial products?"

"What about gold?" Kirilenko asked: "At this time, shouldn't everyone buy gold? Does it mean that the price of gold will rise again?"

As gold is a real international currency, when the prices of other products are likely to drop sharply, even when the value of the US dollar is also depreciating, many people will definitely invest in gold, right?

Why, according to Feng Yu, even the price of gold has to fall?

"Panic, this will make many people sell gold. And there are many investors who have lost money in other ways, and they will also sell their gold,

Make up for losses and tide over difficulties. "

"But what you said is also reasonable. When other products are unreliable, and even the exchange rates of the US dollar and the euro are falling, many people will definitely buy gold, and the price of gold will definitely rise."

"However, the rise in gold prices will inevitably be accompanied by a wave of declines in gold prices before ushering in a slow growth."

"So at this time, the price of gold must also fall. Don't think that the price of gold has risen in the past few days, so you just go to buy gold. In a few days, gold will plummet."

"And when the price of gold falls to a certain level, it is time for us to buy up gold. But at that time, the price of crude oil will definitely rebound, and the rate of recovery of crude oil will definitely exceed that of gold. After all, the price of crude oil , it is impossible to keep below a reasonable price.”

At that time, the price of crude oil will double in just a few months, but it is impossible for gold to have such an increase.

So even Feng Yu thinks that gold will rise, and the increase is good, but he is not prepared to continue to invest heavily in gold, it is better to invest in crude oil first.

When he earns enough from crude oil, he will invest in gold and cross it, so that he can always make good profits.

"Do you know why I said that the price of crude oil will drop rapidly? Think about OPEC?"

"You mean about their increase in production?" Fu Guangzheng asked doubtfully.

"That's right, but it's not just because of increased production. Don't forget that countries such as the United Arab Emirates are investing heavily in infrastructure at this time, which requires huge funds. They have a fanatical interest in the names of some of the tallest buildings in the world, and they also need to use This is to revive the tourism industry.”

In Feng Yu's view, this is like the situation in Huaxia Sanya back then, which caused a surplus of real estate. Although the real estate market here may not necessarily collapse, borrowing money to invest in this, and playing such a big game, is simply stupid.

The time for infrastructure construction is relatively long, and the time for capital return is too long, which makes their interest continue to increase. In order to repay the money, they have to increase production and exploit more oil to repay the debt. Then OPEC's actual production increase must exceed their planned production increase.

"Increasing production in those countries will in itself cause crude oil prices to fall, and the decline in crude oil prices will in turn stimulate them to increase production and maintain income. This is a vicious circle."

"In addition to this financial crisis, many financial institutions will lose a lot of money. Will they want to make money back in other ways? Shorting crude oil futures is a good choice, right?"

The crude oil in the previous life fell below the reasonable price. Without the promotion of those financial institutions, it would not be possible to do this based on the bad news of the financial crisis.

This life, together with Feng Yu's promotion, will definitely cause crude oil to plummet. Maybe the price will be even lower than in the previous life!

"In short, everyone just wait for the good news!"

...

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