Chapter 1073 Opportunities Are Always Rare

In fact, the top and bottom-level concerns of Fan Investment Group are all about whether the May 1st terrorist attack will cause the U.S. economy to plummet. If that is the case, some domestic economic policies will need to make a lot of responses. adjusted.

At the same time, everyone also noticed that Fan Wubing happened to gather all the employees of the American company in the past few days. This also prevented the company's employees from being injured or killed in this incident. It cannot but be said that Fan Wubing was There was something unpredictable about him, which made the executives who already admired Fan Zong and Bing feel even more inexplicable.

However, even though Fan Wubing had strictly ordered all American companies to assemble, someone was still injured in the incident. It was a foreign executive of an American company. At that time, he had something to do and went to the World Trade Center to discuss with a company that had already been discussed. During a scheduled business exchange, a plane crashed into the building. Fortunately, he was on a lower floor and escaped unharmed. He also saved several injured women and children, for which he received a commendation from the U.S. government;

Fan Wubing didn't say much about this. Although he repeatedly emphasized that he must abide by the temporary assembly, the incident this time was relatively sudden, and he could not explain it to the employees. The reason why he emphasized discipline was just to try to avoid the casualties of his employees in the incident. Now it seems The effect is not bad, at least not as heavy as those companies that settled in the World Trade Center.

There are many companies that can locate in the World Trade Center. There are many powerful companies. This time, the death toll in the World Trade Center reached thousands. Most of these people were industry elites. Their deaths directly led to gaps in the operations of many companies, and even the loss of some companies. The leadership was basically wiped out?

In any case, some employees who were quite resistant to Fan Wubing's recruitment now feel very lucky. Since Fan's Investment Group has a large business and covers a wide range of areas, especially its close connection with the financial industry, there are usually a lot of people working in the World Trade Center, and the floors they are located on are also very high. If it weren't for Fan Wu With this move, many people may remain in the ruins of the World Trade Center forever.

Those shocking scenes seen on TV screens are enough to make the people involved feel terrified and feel lucky?

What followed was an assessment of the damage suffered by Fan Investment Group in this incident, as well as consultations on policy adjustments to financial work in the United States.

The impact of the incident on the U.S. economy will spread around the world through four channels: trade, capital flows and exchange rates, international market prices, and financial market contagion, affecting global economic development.

From a trade perspective, after the recent incident. The United States has closed all gateways and some borders with Mexico, temporarily suspending trade and logistics with all countries and regions around the world. Will it have a greater impact on the exports of countries such as Canada and Mexico that rely heavily on the U.S. market?

The United States has always occupied the most important position in the international market.

Its imports account for about 25% of global trade. If the U.S. economy is in recession, its imports will inevitably shrink, thus affecting the development of global trade, but the impact on various regions will not be consistent.

North America, Japan, Latin America, and Southeast Asian countries are greatly affected. Japan exports one-third of its total exports to the United States. The economies of Latin America and Southeast Asia rely heavily on exports to the United States. In particular, more than half of electronic products are exported to the United States. According to Goldman Sachs The company estimates that "since 2006, half of Southeast Asia's economic growth has been driven by exports to the United States. The EU's trade with the United States accounts for about 10% of its total trade, and is more affected than Japan, Latin America, and Southeast Asian countries."

From the perspective of capital flows and exchange rates. The earthquake will affect the exchange rate adjustment of major currencies and change the direction of capital flows. International capital will flow to countries and regions with relatively fast economic development, stable society, and relatively moderate foreign policies, such as Europe.

Currently, the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar against the euro has depreciated from the euro against the U.S. dollar to about the euro against the U.S. dollar. The statement from the Federal Reserve acknowledged that the economic data released in the United States in recent weeks has been disappointing, with oil prices high, consumer confidence falling to a nine-year low, and employment declining, with more than 300,000 jobs lost in February alone. , while retail sales are also declining.

From the perspective of financial markets, stock markets around the world are now fluctuating with the fluctuations of Wall Street, and hedge funds may also take the opportunity to make trouble.

The U.S. stock market fell, and it was difficult for stock markets in other countries to improve. The Tokyo stock market fell, London fell, Paris fell, and Frankfurt fell. The share prices of the most affected airlines fell even more, with British Airways, Lufthansa and Air France's share price fell by more than 5%?

On the day after the U.S. stock market opened, the world's major stock markets outside the United States rebounded. The stock prices of European stock markets rose by about 3%. There were fluctuations in the following days, indicating that people continued to take a wait-and-see attitude towards the U.S. stock market.

Judging from the prices of international strategic commodities, after the incident, the prices of oil, gold, non-ferrous metals and other commodities rose rapidly. On the same day, London Brent crude oil futures rose to US dollars per barrel, rising the US dollar to its highest level since December last year. This terrorist incident did not affect the global crude oil supply. The rise in oil prices was entirely due to the uncertainty of the terrorist attack and psychological panic. The history of world economic development shows. Oil prices are closely related to world economic growth, and every large-scale economic recession is related to rising oil prices.

The economies of all countries in the world are interdependent and influence each other. Due to the dominant position of the United States in the world economy, countries around the world are inevitably tired of the slowdown in the U.S. economy. When the U.S. economy is prosperous, the world economy is more likely to develop. If the U.S. economy declines, it will also drag down the economies of other countries in the world.

As China is highly dependent on U.S. exports, the U.S. economy has entered recession, especially as U.S. consumption levels have declined, and demand for imported goods has declined accordingly, which will inhibit the growth of China's exports in terms of external demand. The impact of the earthquake on the economies of various countries is different. North America, South America, Japan, and East Asia will be more affected, while the impact on Europe, South Asia and other countries will be relatively small.

It's just that this time is different from the past. Fan Wubing did not take this opportunity to make a fortune from the terrorist attacks in the US stock market and external stock markets. On the contrary, in recent days, he has been expressing financial stability in various public or private occasions. importance of the market, and expressed dissatisfaction with the international hedge funds who took advantage of the situation.

"Could it be that the boss has changed his gender?" Naturally, those in charge of Fan Wubing and other financial institutions were the most curious.

In the many previous ups and downs of the stock market, Fan was unique. Pindi grasped the pulse of it and realized it with ease. Fu, this time Fan Wubing also made some preparations in advance, such as reducing recent financial activities, selling off some unstable assets, etc. At the same time, he also arranged for employees of financial institutions in the United States to gather swords to avoid accidents. It stands to reason Can he take this opportunity to make a fortune?

However, Mr. Fan actually did not take any action. This is really strange.

Fan Wubing naturally had his own thoughts on this.

After all, after the terrorist attacks on the United States, the U.S. government will conduct strict reviews of foreign investors and foreign capital for a long time. Under this situation, Fan Wubing plans to gradually withdraw from investment in the United States this year alone and complete strategic contraction. In addition to maintaining a certain say in some very important industries, he will disperse most of his personnel. Go to financial institutions in other countries around the world to complete the global strategic layout of Fan Investment Group.

Another point is that the domestic development is about to get on the right track. Fan Wubing feels that now is the time to return to the country to flex his muscles, so in addition to some safe financial or mining investments. Except for those assets that should be hidden in large foreign banks, except for those real estate investment projects in hot spots in various countries, some other assets can already be transferred domestically.

The most important thing is that after the state-owned enterprises have basically achieved their predetermined goals in getting out of trouble in three years, the country needs new growth points to promote the development of the entire economy. Dad Fan Heng has also told Fan Wubing many times. Fan Wubing believes that it is his duty to vigorously promote the domestic modernization process, especially to strengthen the development of enterprises in the central and western regions.

Facts: On the third day after the incident, Fan Yu, the father who returned home, had an in-depth discussion with his son on the matter.

"In the recent period, domestic policy towards the United States has been relatively positive. Although George W. Bush's coming to power seems to be unfavorable to China, and before he was elected, he seemed to be a cowboy who was not afraid of anything. But if we study If you meet this person, you will often come to the conclusion that this person is more humane," Fan Wubing said to his father Fan Heng. "To be honest, although many domestic media have a relatively high opinion of Clinton, it is precisely this) Clinton who is our biggest enemy. He created some troubles for us during his tenure."

"Then how do you think Americans will respond to this terrorist attack?" Fan Heng asked.

"Since George W. Bush has played the role of a cowboy hero, then only war can allow him to continue to play this role." Fan Wubing replied.

"War? Who to fight?" Fan Heng asked.

"Of course it's Afghanistan. This is the place where the Americans and the Russians have been entangled. It is also the base camp of the Taliban. The Taliban organization actually has a very close relationship with the Taliban. The Americans will not let go of this opportunity no matter what this time. An angry Uncle Sam is quite scary," Fan Wubing replied without thinking.

Fan Heng frowned when he heard this and considered the matter carefully.

In the eyes of many people, although Americans are warlike, they always fight for their own interests. Otherwise, they would have maintained their capital in the early stages of World War II. It was only after they were beaten painfully by the Japanese at Pearl Harbor that they made up their minds. Finally joined the war.

This terrorist attack has been described as the second Pearl Harbor incident, so everyone is guessing where the American anger will be directed. They do need to find an outlet for their emotions, but for a terrorist organization that has no fixed home base and wanders around every corner of the world, where should they start?

Fan Wubing gave a very clear direction for Afghanistan.

As far as Afghanistan is concerned, in fact, the domestic high-level officials have long disliked them. You must know that because it is a gathering place for Islamic fundamentalist extremists, it has always been a troublemaker. Members of the more active terrorist organizations in the country are basically trained by them.

At the first glance, these people did create a lot of trouble and gave the domestic government a huge headache.

These people sneak back to create some terrorist incidents, and then immediately escape and return to Afghanistan to recuperate. They can neither be hit nor caught, which is very annoying.

This time, the ** created a terrorist attack. In fact, the top leaders are still happy to see the Americans take action to clean up Afghanistan. After all, this small poor country has become an unstable factor in the political activities of Northwest Asia. If it were not for the unchangeable peace development strategy pursued by China, someone would have attacked it long ago?

"Counter-terrorism is a double-edged sword. Many things that were difficult to solve in the past can now be completely solved in the name of counter-terrorism?" Fan Wubing reminded his father Fan Heng.

Fan Heng thought about it and immediately understood.

In the past, in the face of some extreme incidents in China, Americans always had to point fingers, such as on the issues of Tibet or Xinjiang, or on the Chechen issue in Russia, Americans always liked to interfere and attack in the name of human rights.

But if the Americans start a war against Afghanistan under the pretext of opposing terrorism, then everyone can follow suit in the future. If you Americans can fight terrorism, then we can naturally fight terrorism as well. As long as we put a big hat of terrorists on our opponents, then whether we fight or kill them at that time, it will be the righteous cause, and no one can say anything wrong.

And there is another point. Even if the Americans really fight Afghanistan this time, they need to obtain the tacit consent of countries such as China and Russia before they can launch military operations. To do this, it is impossible not to communicate privately. In this way, many issues that could not be discussed before can now be discussed.

For example, the issue of joining...ization, the sovereignty issue in certain areas, and the so-called human rights issue that the Americans have been biting on before, these issues can be better resolved.

"In short, this is a good opportunity. It not only shows support for the US anti-terrorism, but also solves many historical problems. Why not do it?" Fan Wubing concluded.

Fan Heng thought that it was indeed the case. It seems that some issues can be communicated in advance. ""