Chapter 1714 Price War with High Probability
(Sorry for the late post, it's another overtime day, and I don't have any money, I'm so miserable...)
Yi~Lang originally focused on the domestic situation, but suddenly discovered that neighbors have risen, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq and other countries in the Arab world that are Iran's feuds. While fighting against the former Soviet Union, there are also strategic considerations to check and balance Yi~lang.
Under such circumstances, Yilang had to suffer double suppression from the former Soviet Union and the Arab world at the same time, and the geopolitical security situation seriously deteriorated.
So at that time, Yi~Lang tended to dismantle the US-Iran alliance, ease relations with the former Soviet Union, and concentrate its efforts to deal with the threat of increasingly powerful neighbors in the region.
At this time, because of its highly pro-American nature, the Pahlavi dynasty could no longer meet the needs of the times and changes in the geographical environment, so it was replaced by the anti-American Yi~Langist forces.
But the dissolution of the US-Iran alliance does not mean that the US and Iran must turn against each other.
In fact, Yi~Lang's slogan at the time was "No East, no West, only China." In other words, it was not planning to fall to the former Soviet Union.
A careful analysis of Yilang's national strategy actually intends to use religion as a link to integrate the entire world of the Communist Party, and promote the Middle East to get rid of the US-Soviet restraint and become the third pole in the world, but this has nothing to do with the interests of the US and the Soviet Union. Although the United States and the Soviet Union fought fiercely around the Middle East under the Cold War situation, this does not mean that they are willing to make wedding dresses for the unity of the Communist Party of China.
Two people can carve up the world, so why allow a third party to rise? On the issue of the Middle East, the United States and the Soviet Union are both enemies and friends. No one can sit back and watch the rise of third-party forces to share their own cakes. Therefore, every time the Middle East is about to integrate, there will be major changes-wars!
In fact, Yilang's wild idea has almost come to fruition. To seize food in the gap between the two superpowers, such a difficult task is about to be realized.
In fact, it is not difficult to understand. In view of geographical factors, and the level of technology has not met the requirements, the direct radiation of the United States and the Soviet Union to the Middle East was actually relatively limited at that time. The maintenance of influence must rely on indigenous allies, that is, to support local agents. people.
If there is no accident, with Yilang's status and strength as the largest geographical power in the Middle East at that time, it can completely deal with the United States and the Soviet Union, and take advantage of the contradictions between the two to realize its own ambitions, even if the United States and the Soviet Union know Yi~lang has ulterior motives , but due to the mutual fear, not only can't do anything about it, maybe it can also make Yi~Lang benefit from it.
In view of this situation, as long as Yi~Lang was able to conquer the Arabian Peninsula in one go, his dream of becoming king in the Middle East would come true.
Unfortunately, the nostalgia was ruined by an accident—that is, Iraq.
Among the member states of the Arab world, Egypt, the former glorious overlord, is declining day by day. Assad ZF in Syria is a Shia sect and has religious ties to Iran. Although Saudi Arabia has become an upstart by relying on oil, it has a large land area. But the country is nothing but sand, and it does not have the capacity for large-scale industrial and agricultural production. In fact, its geographical strength and war potential are not strong. It is just a paper tiger.
Therefore, after calculating it this way, as long as Yi~lang can handle Iraq, the prospects will be bright, at least strategically, it can be beneficial to the invincible position.
Moreover, from the perspective of comprehensive strength, Yi~lang's advantage at that time was still very obvious. First of all, its national strength was higher than that of Iraq, which is beyond doubt;
Secondly, geographical suppression, the Yilang plateau has formed a geographical suppression on the two river basins that Iraq relies on for survival;
Finally, in terms of culture, although Iraq is Sunni, most of the people belong to Shia. That is to say, once Yi~Lang ZF Iraq, there is no need to worry about the issue of control, let alone Yi~Lang is very chicken The thieves played the banner of jihad and stood on the commanding heights of morality.
The most important thing is that the US-Iran alliance has disbanded, and the relationship between Yi~Lang and the former Soviet Union has been lost. Regardless of the US-Soviet relationship,
It is difficult to provide all-round support for Iraq, so we can only rub the fire in the dark!
Then the Iran-Iraq War broke out. According to the usual operating mode of that era, this kind of regional war would usually evolve into two sides standing between the two camps of the United States and the Soviet Union, such as the Northern Dynasty War and the Yuenan Little Red War.
But the Iran-Iraq War was an exception. The United States and the Soviet Union hoped that the two brats would fight hard, but they did not want them to decide the winner too quickly. The best result would be to consume each other. It would be great if you can take the opportunity to send a sum.
Anyway, there is only one central idea, that is, no one should try to become big. The Middle East region will never allow a unified voice. Whoever dares to unify will destroy world peace. This kind of gangster logic is very speechless, but it is a helpless reality!
And this kind of thinking has been continued to this day. Although the Soviet Union collapsed and the United States launched two Iraq wars, the United States still maintains sanctions against Iran.
Of course, Americans also understand the theory of big sticks and sweet dates. It is not enough to blindly suppress them. Several years of détente.
Coupled with Yi Lang's desire to repair the internal troubles caused by the war, he had no choice but to actively move closer to the correct ZZ direction, and Lang had a concubine's intentions, so the "Yi~Nuclear Agreement" came into being.
However, a peaceful and stable Middle East is definitely not in the interests of the United States, so whether it is Donald or Lillard coming to power, overthrowing the "Yi~ Nuclear Agreement" is the meaning of the topic.
In the past, the Americans could use the nail of Israel to disrupt the situation in the Middle East, but after stirring for so long, the Arab world has also understood that with the support of the United States, Israel cannot be wiped out. Then develop the economy with peace of mind.
But the United States does not want to see such a situation happen. Since the role of the chess pieces listed in Israel continues to decrease, it will continue to play the old routine and provoke the Arab civil war.
If you want to provoke a war, you must have a reason or a fuse. What better excuse than oil?
This is what Yang Cheng said about the problem.
After Donald came to power, he will inevitably impose tough sanctions on Yilang, such as curbing Yilang's oil exports.
It is reflected in the price of oil. Once this news breaks out, it will inevitably lead to a rise in crude oil prices. After all, Yi~lang is the world's fourth largest country in oil reserves and the ninth largest country in exports. The inevitable result, but in this way, the effect of the blow is not obvious.
The purpose of banning exports is to make yi~lang no money to make, and then the economy collapses, and the price of oil rises. After all, yi~lang can still sell oil, and the money that should be earned will not be less, but more.
Therefore, the United States will definitely make a layout in advance, how to make the layout?
Increase your stockpile of reserve oil!