Chapter 748 Analysis of the Dragon and Tiger List!
Xu Xiang responded: "From the beginning to the end, since the stock of 'Huake Shuguang' was listed on the Dragon and Tiger List, is it only the institutional seat that bought it at the beginning? Other institutional seats did not participate in the linkage, and there are several related hot money seats in the past few days.
It is obvious that when this 'fake institution' began to take over 'Huake Shuguang'.
It should be that they did not expect that the market heat of 'Huake Shuguang' would soar to such a high level after everyone saw the institutional seats taking over the chips.
Subsequently, as the market heat of the 'Huake Shuguang' check continued to soar.
Everyone's expectations for the trend of this check began to benchmark the previous 'Blue Stone Heavy Equipment'.
This 'fake institution' began to deliberately use institutional seats to manipulate market sentiment and other groups of follow-up funds. , deliberately guided.
Although there is no substantial evidence...
But according to market trading experience, in the past few days, the several hot money seats that have been linked on the list should be related to the funds that first intervened in the stock of "Huake Shuguang".
This guy used the "institutional" seat to deliberately guide the market, causing a continuous lock-up situation.
On the one hand, he used other hot money seats to conduct buying and selling transactions, maximizing the market's speculation on this check and maximizing excess profits.
Although the trading methods are a bit despicable, it must be admitted that there is still ability.
It's just that there is no pattern.
In the current market, many people have confused the main funds that guided "Huake Shuguang" with the "Yuhang system" that dominated the stock of "Shanghai Steel Union". 'Compared with Fortune Road, in my opinion, the two are not at the same level in terms of market conditions, emotional node judgment, and the understanding of the main concept market, as well as trading skills and technology, and there is no comparability at all.
If the regulatory authorities did not want to fully activate the market and create a big bull market.
In this way, the direct financing channel of the market will be fully opened up, and the liquidity foundation for the future "registration system" will be established.
As a result, some non-compliant speculation in the market and even stock price manipulation behaviors have been relaxed in supervision, and one eye has been turned.
According to the previous regulatory standards, this fund that controls "Huake Shuguang".
Most likely, something will happen.
In essence, the speculation of the "Huake Shuguang" check is similar to the previous "Lanshi Heavy Equipment". There is a clear difference between the consecutive board market.
The check for ‘Huake Shuguang’ has some traces of funds taking advantage of the chips and deliberately guiding it.
The previous check for ‘Lanshi Heavy Equipment’ was basically the result of the concerted efforts of the market.
And these two checks are obviously very different in terms of expected logic. Can you see that the check for ‘Huake Shuguang’ has any strong main line concept logic support? No!
It’s just pure emotional speculation and capital control behavior.
Once the overall market sentiment continues to decline, the controlling funds in the market will stop profit and exit the warehouse, and the trend will be reversed, which is very tragic.
In other words, I dared to accept the position of ‘Lanshi Heavy Equipment’ when it was 20 consecutive boards.
But I dare not accept this check at all.
If nothing unexpected happens... the check of 'Huake Shuguang' will accelerate tomorrow and continue to shrink, but the risk of extreme trend reversal is also imminent. The funds that continue to take over the chips of this stock can be said to be... really licking blood on the edge of a knife, and the risk is much greater than the probability of making a profit.
Of course, the logic of the line of 'new stocks' is still correct.
No matter what form the check of 'Huake Shuguang' takes, it has reached the position of 20 consecutive boards today.
The market extreme speculation space created by the two checks of 'Lanshi Heavy Equipment' and 'Huake Shuguang' has undoubtedly completely opened up the speculation sentiment and speculation space of the entire 'new stocks' sector, as well as the valuation level, coupled with the regulatory authorities' unshakable 22 times PE new stock issuance standard.
Under the circumstances where market sentiment, valuation level, and bull market atmosphere continue to rise.
Newly listed stocks, as well as near-term new stocks.
Since there is no restriction of historical locked-in stocks, the chips on the market are relatively clean, and it is still the only speculation object and target of the short-term capital group in the market.
It can be predicted that the subsequent speculation on the line of "new stocks" will continue to rise and fall.
In fact, today, the soul board of the entire market should be the two checks of "Shanghai Steel Union" and "Shanghai Sanmao". One represents the dark line of "low-level old monster stocks turning around", and the other represents the main line of "big infrastructure", the high-low switching, and the speculation logic of low-level supplementary rise.
Of course, the check of "Quantong Education" is still good.
I really didn't expect that the main funds of the check of "Quantong Education" today, and the main buying force of the market would be Ge Lao Da.
Based on the stock trend records of Ge Lao Da's previous moves.
The hard logic of the stocks he pays attention to and buys in large quantities will not be bad.
I just don't know if there is any news in the investment direction of "Internet online education"? Regardless of whether there is any news, since Ge has aggressively increased his holdings in the stock of "Quantong Education", we should still pay close attention to this check.
We can see how the concept of "Internet online education" will develop in the future. "
"Okay!" Zhou Kan listened carefully to Xu Xiang's analysis of the dragon and tiger lists of the two cities, pondered for a moment, and then said, "The boss feels that the trend of the 'Huake Dawn' check has reached the end of its strength, so, 'Shanghai Stock Exchange'" What about the trends of the stocks of Steel Union and Shanghai Sanmao? Can they come out?”
Xu Xiang said: "Whether these two checks can be realized depends on how the two main lines of 'big finance' and 'big infrastructure' are performed in the future."
"What do you think, boss?" Zhou Kan continued to ask.
Xu Xiang thought about it for a while and said: "Logically speaking, at this time, the line of 'big finance', in terms of news, before the news about the central bank's interest rate cut and reserve requirement ratio cut in December has not become completely clear. There is a certain news vacuum period.
And there is a vacuum period in the news.
It relies solely on the expected logic of the bull market and the bullish sentiment of the market itself.
In the "Big Finance" line, the short-term surge has been too high, and the technical divergence is very serious. It is still quite difficult to continue to break through the sharp rise.
There is a high probability that it will maintain a sideways and oscillating trend at this position.
After all, there are still a lot of capital groups waiting to enter the market outside the market. After the loosening of funds, the potential of the incremental capital groups has not yet been fully demonstrated.
Therefore, as the core main line with relatively high market certainty, it is difficult to fall.
And if the entire 'big financial' main line maintains a sideways fluctuation, then... its internal market conditions will definitely diverge, which means that there is a high probability that the previously stagflation concept stocks will gradually make up for their gains and keep up with the corresponding sector indexes. , and the trend of core-weighted stocks that have completed a surge, their stock prices are at a relatively high level, and have accumulated a large amount of profits and unwinding of arbitrage, should be relatively weak.
In other words, the "high-low switching" situation in the main line of "big finance".
It should become more and more obvious.
And if this is the case, Internet financial concept stocks that were previously lagging behind, such as ‘Shanghai Steel Union, Tianyu Information, Huake Financial...’ should have good opportunities to perform.
In fact, this can refer to the trend of the main line of "big infrastructure" and the "military industry" sector during this period.
Since the core main line of the market has been transferred from 'big infrastructure' and 'military industry' to the main line of 'big finance', the two lines of 'big infrastructure' and 'military industry' have basically been in a box-shaped shock trend, and the other two lines have been in a box-like shock trend. Various sectors have also undergone a clear "high-low switching" market trend.
In short, the market is in a bull market and there will be no major changes.
Wherever there is the highest cost-effectiveness for investment and speculation, it will be where the financial groups will focus on speculation. If you think along this logical line, there is a high probability that there is nothing wrong. "
"What the boss said makes sense." Zhou Kan nodded and asked, "Then, do you want to adjust the position structure of our main fund products?"
Xu Xiang responded: "No, in market transactions, adjustments are often avoided, and profits are also avoided. The core position weight of our fund is already on the two core lines of 'big finance' and 'big infrastructure' , there is no need to adjust, such as this "high-low switch" form transformation in the sideways stage of the main line market.
It's just a compensatory trend for weak stocks within the main market trend.
When the weak stocks make up for their gains, the valuation level of the entire main market will reach the same level again.
As the expectations of the main market continue to change, or the expectations become more and more clear, a large number of profit taking and arbitrage chips on the market have been cleared.
There is a high probability that the market will continue to return to these leading weight and industry leading stocks.
If we adjust the position structure at this time.
Is it necessary to make changes in the subsequent market changes and recover the chips sold?
If the size of our current fund is still the same as it was two years ago, with a scale of only 2 to 3 billion, we can do this. But now the scale of our fund is already more than 20 billion. If we continue to shift and shift in this way, we can grasp Short-term market opportunities.
There is a high probability that the sesame seeds will be lost and the watermelon will be lost!
Just like now, why is it increasingly difficult for the funds of the ‘Yu Hang Group’ to appear on the dragon and tiger lists of the two cities.
And why do the individual stocks it trades increasingly favor large-capitalization and industry-leading stocks with a market value of tens of billions or even hundreds of billions?
Is it because they look down on the many concept stocks in the market that have been trading at their daily limit?
No, it's because their current fund size is already too large, and they can't move and switch quickly to chase the short-term market like they did in the first half year of this institution's establishment.
It’s not that they don’t want to, it’s that they can’t do it anymore.
At the same time, even if you use small position funds to chase short-term market trends and earn some excess profits, the impact on the net value of the entire fund will be very limited.
That is to say, the energy investment and profit output are not cost-effective at all.
The larger the amount of funds, the harder it is to touch the short-term market and the more difficult it is to move and convert, so you have to give up some market opportunities. This is the path that funds must go through when growing from small to large, and it is unavoidable.
If you do not change this investment thinking and trading strategy, you will not know how to choose opportunities.
It is also difficult to further expand the scale of funds.
Many investment managers, fund managers, and even many large hot money in the industry, when the amount of funds was small, did ten times the performance of the institution like the 'Yuhang System'. However... in the end, most of them were just like a flash in the pan, and became mediocre as the amount of funds continued to expand.
And those who can eventually create legends and myths, their performance is rapidly expanding with the amount of funds.
The only legendary institution that is not seriously restricted is the 'Yuhang System'.
Therefore, everyone in the industry is so shocked by the 'Yuhang System' and admires Mr. Su of the 'Yuhang System' so much! "
When Zhou Kan heard Xu Xiang's words, he had a slight understanding in his heart and said: "Today, the number of times that Mr. Su of the 'Yuhang System' appeared on the Dragon and Tiger List is indeed much lower than last year, and the style has also changed a lot.
However, as the amount of funds of the 'Yuhang System' is getting bigger and bigger, it is becoming more and more difficult to maneuver and convert.
It feels like it is getting easier and easier to follow the trend of this main fund.
Now, the holdings of many main fund products under the institution of "Yuhang System" should be basically clear. If nothing unexpected happens, this fund is still holding a large number of main stocks of "big finance" and "big infrastructure", and is still in a trend of gradually increasing its holdings. "
"It is indeed getting easier to track." Xu Xiang smiled and said, "But this is exactly the strength of this main fund!
Everyone knows how to track this main fund, make reference to the market, and refer to the idea of building a position.
With so many funds chasing and following the trend, and even sniping.
This fund can accurately step on the core main market development nodes of the market again and again, and continue to earn excess profits from the market, which is not ordinary.
You know, it is countless times more difficult to lead a core main market than to lead a stock.
It is necessary to make the main capital groups in the market, and even the majority of retail investors, follow the trend in a main direction, and form a main trend with consistent expectations, so that countless funds can form a consistent capital force in this direction.
This difficulty is not just as simple as judging the current market situation and the expected subsequent market situation.
It is also necessary to have expectations for the direction of the market's macro-policy, as well as the regulatory authorities' attitude towards the market, the overall market investment sentiment, investment confidence and other factors.
At least... we must be half a step ahead of the market and take the initiative to guide the core main line of the market.
Half a step ahead to build a large-scale position and decisively create the main market trend.
I can't do it.
We... in the final analysis, can only follow the market trend and be a qualified follower! "
"Boss is modest." Zhou Kan said with a smile, "In my opinion, the boss is already very powerful, but this Mr. Su from the "Yuhang system" is indeed a bit too evil. "
When the two conducted in-depth analysis and analysis on the data of the Dragon and Tiger List of the two cities.
In the stock investment forums, stock investment exchange communities, financial media website comment areas, internal communication groups, and the vast investor groups inside and outside the market.
They are also in an atmosphere of intense communication and mutual discussion.
And in this kind of trading and discussion.
On the Dragon and Tiger List of the two cities, the performance of the buying and selling funds on the list is more eye-catching, and there are several stocks with higher recognition.
For example, 'Huake Shuguang, Shanghai Steel Union, Shanghai Sanmao, Quantong Education...' These stocks, the corresponding market investors' attention and discussion heat are also continuously rising.
And when the popularity of these tickets is further rising.
Like 'Tonghuashun, Dazhihui, Dongfang Fortune, the three musketeers of "Internet finance", as well as the popular securities stocks of "Huatou Capital, Huaxin Securities, Western Securities, and Pacific Securities", as well as the popular stocks of "big infrastructure" such as "Huagong International, China North Vehicle, China South Vehicle, China Metallurgical, and China Construction", have begun to decline in market enthusiasm when the money-making effect has declined or even stopped.
Of course, among them, the two checks of "Lanshi Heavy Equipment" and "Chengfei Integration".
Even though there is no money-making effect today, and it has also gone out of the tragic limit down board, the attention and discussion of market investors are still high.
It's just that when people discuss these two stocks, they often use them as negative examples. (End of this chapter)