Chapter 60: Rescue From Bayesian Theorem! (Two-in-One Thanks to Yi Nian Qi’s 10,000-Dollar Reward)
Luo Yao said while sorting out his thoughts: "For the sake of traffic, major e-commerce platforms must promote the top anchors, which leads to an inverted pyramid shape in traffic."
“If we want the traffic to spread to our local brands, we need something to stimulate it.”
Fu Daobin was silent on the other end of the phone.
Officials rarely intervene in market behavior, and taking action now is completely out of necessity.
What stimulation does Luo Yao mean?
Shouldn't the authorities force the top anchors to bring domestic products?
"Luo Yao, I have to remind you that our local brand is not well-known. If we want to rely on sympathy to get everyone to accept it, it will be too difficult."
Luo Yao paused and said: "If we could win by relying on sympathy, local brands would not be in this situation."
"Currently, we still rely on sympathy to make plans, and our IQ may be lower than that of ordinary people."
Fu Daobin held the phone, feeling embarrassed.
Fortunately, he didn't mention such a plan, otherwise his impression score in Luo Yao's heart would probably plummet.
"For now, what we're going to do is do nothing."
Fu Daobin was stunned.
Now that the situation is so urgent, why don't you do anything? Is Luo Yao's IQ so high that he is a bit unworldly?
What should I do if the factory cannot pay wages? What should workers do if they lose their jobs?
"Of course that's just on the surface."
"In fact, officials need to stabilize companies and factories first, so that they don't act rashly. If they are free now, they need to take stock of the goods first."
Fu Daobin frowned: "Is this the end?"
"What's the point of them taking stock of the goods now? No one is probably in that mood."
"That's why I said that this matter is a bit troublesome to operate. Now I need the quantity list of their goods. I wonder if the official can provide it?"
Hey! This kid thinks that the official can't even let everyone lighten the goods, right?
"This matter is easy to handle, but I'm worried that it will cause others to misunderstand that we want to cover all the goods. If these goods cannot be solved by then, the official blame will be big."
Luo Yao had actually expected what Fu Daobin said. Now he heard that Fu Daobin meant that he didn't want to do it, so he said, "Then don't move for now. You wait for my news."
After speaking, Luo Yao was too lazy to talk nonsense anymore and hung up the phone.
Is this the end?
Fu Daobin shook his head helplessly at the phone, but he had no choice but to go to the expert team first to see if the expert team could think of a solution.
Luo Yao left his office and summoned the geniuses who were still filled with indignation.
"There is something that needs everyone to deal with. I need some data. Please help me with the statistics."
"What data are you talking about, boss?" Wang Ye responded positively.
"There are currently two main discussions on Weibo. One is whether our company is innocent, and the other is whether there is something wrong with the ugly country. I need these two data."
Wang Ye's smile froze on his face: "Boss, this data is difficult to compile. Is it possible for us to contact Weibo?"
"Don't bother me. I'll just write down the crawler statistics and I'll give you the results in half an hour." Sergey shook his blond hair coolly, which made Wang Ye feel particularly unhappy.
"Isn't it illegal to reptile? If someone sues you, do you want the boss to get you?"
Sergey sat in front of the computer and automatically blocked Wang Ye's words, but Edela explained: "No, all comments made by users are public. We only crawl public data and are not involved in illegal intrusions into computer information systems. , it’s okay.”
Everyone in Shannon's laboratory gathered around Sergey, watching Sergey operate quickly in front of the computer.
"Sergey's crawler software is ready-made. He only needs to modify a few data." Edela explained while watching.
The data flow on the computer screen flew past their eyes like birds. In less than half an hour, Sergey had completed the task assigned by Luo Yao.
"Boss, I have the data you want."
“55% of people agree that our company has no problems, and 35% agree that China has no problems.”
"What do you want us to do now?"
Luo Yao looked at the two key data obtained on Sergey's screen and said slowly: "Bayes' theorem."
While Wang Ye was still in a daze, everyone else, including Wu Tianming, came to their senses.
"Are you trying to use Bayes' theorem to calculate how many people will support our company?"
Luo Yao nodded with satisfaction.
Sure enough, if you work with smart people, you will have to explain a lot less.
"I need detailed data to determine what course of action we should take next."
"That's easy, just wait, the data will be out soon!"
Sergey tapped on the keyboard, and vertical words appeared on his computer screen.
[P(A) is the prior probability that our company has no problems, that is, the probability of agreeing that our company has no problems, which is equal to 55% or 0.55. 】
[P(B|A) is the probability that our company has no problems under the condition that our company has no problems, which is also equal to 55% or 0.55. 】
[P(B) is the probability of event B, that is, the probability of agreeing that our company has no problems or agreeing that the ugly country is not guilty. 】
【P(B)=P(B∣A)P(A)+P(B∣A)P(A)】
[P(B)=0.550.55+0.350.45=0.3025+0.1575=0.46]
[Bayesian theorem calculates the probability value of supporting our local enterprises P(A∣B): P(A∣B)=0.460.550.55≈0.6652]
"66.52% of people will support our local enterprises!"
Luo Yao was somewhat dissatisfied after seeing the result.
He knew that the local brand market was not big, but what he didn't understand was that when others were slandering local brands, more than 30% of people were willing to believe in foreign brands.
He believed in mathematics, and he believed that what they were going to do next could only be done through these 66.52% of people.
"More than half, so can we take action?" Wu Tianming looked at Luo Yao.
Luo Yao was dissatisfied, but said without any expression: "Well, everyone, please post your dissatisfaction with the Ugly Country on various social platforms first."
"Our dissatisfaction?"
"For example, those you discussed before, post them first, so that everyone's dissatisfaction with the Ugly Country will not be depressed."
"Be careful, don't just say that the other party has problems, it's better to cite evidence, such as the time nodes of each incident or the connection with the Xizhi incident."
"I know this! I don't care what Bayes' theorem is. You said you want to go to the Ugly Country, I will definitely complete the task! I'm not good at math, but I'm okay at history! You wait!" Wang Ye said as he sat down on a computer, opened Weibo, and started the task.
Others also sat down and expressed their opinions on various platforms.
In the past, they couldn't find an opportunity to complain about the Ugly Country, but now with Luo Yao's support, they have no worries at all.
According to Luo Yao's requirements, they clearly listed the evidence on the Internet why they thought the Ugly Country had problems.
Soon they received a lot of likes.
With the praise of netizens, the people in the laboratory became more and more enthusiastic, and the enthusiasm was the same as when they participated in the Pangu EDA test before.
Luo Yao did not supervise their work, because he knew that according to the IQ of this group of people, the masses could easily regard them as leaders who expressed their opinions one by one.
This is the effect he wanted.
It doesn't matter if there are no top anchors to help them, they can create people with the right to speak!
While the people in the laboratory were busy, Luo Yao called Fu Daobin.
Fu Daobin was discussing the next countermeasures with the experts at this time. When he saw that it was Luo Yao who called, he couldn't wait to say: "Luo Yao, listen to me first, our experts calculated that the probability value of the masses supporting our local enterprises is..."
"66.52%."
Fu Daobin was a little surprised that Luo Yao actually calculated this value. They calculated it by looking for data from Weibo. Where did Luo Yao's data come from?
"Now we can let those factories and enterprises start live broadcasting themselves."
Before Fu Daobin had time to ask, Luo Yao had already said what to do next.
"They start live broadcasting themselves? Isn't it a waste of effort to start it without traffic?"
"Luo Yao, listen to the opinions of our experts."
"Now, we are going to call on everyone to buy the products of these factories on the evening news, and then..."
"No." Luo Yao knew the disadvantages of this plan without waiting for Fu Daobin to finish.
"The realization path is too long, and it is easy to lose traffic in the middle, and in the final analysis, it is still using sympathy, and the conversion rate will not be too high."
"Director Fu, do you believe me?"
"I believe." Fu Daobin said subconsciously in the face of Luo Yao's sudden question.
If you don't believe people with an IQ of 300, who else can you believe?
"Okay, is it only daily necessities that can't find a market now?"
"Almost. For semiconductors, Huaji's marketing staff helped to connect and cooperate with domestic companies."
After hearing this, Luo Yao quickly said, "Then find three manufacturers willing to do live broadcasts. They don't need to prepare anything. They just need to let the factory managers talk about the current situation in front of the live camera. Don't exaggerate, just tell it directly."
"Okay, I'll try."
An hour later, Fu Daobin sent Luo Yao the addresses of the three factory live broadcast rooms.
Luo Yao gave the addresses to the people in Shannon Laboratory and asked them to use empathy to lead people on the social platform into the live broadcast room.
Most of the people in Shannon Laboratory had never done anything similar before, and they all looked at each other in bewilderment.
Empathy?
It seems that this group of geniuses all lack this thing.
Fortunately, Wang Ye's brain is quite flexible in this regard. He threw the live broadcast link into the comment he sent out, accompanied by "Today's them are tomorrow's you and me", and many netizens who had previously agreed with his views curiously entered the live broadcast room.
The director of the Liuba Daily Chemical Factory is a little old man with glasses. After receiving a call from the higher-ups, he finally found someone in the factory to start the live broadcast.
The old man didn't believe that starting a live broadcast would help the factory, but he was willing to cooperate with the authorities. If the authorities asked him to start, he would start.
Following the instructions from the higher-ups, he sat in the silent factory, talking to himself in the empty live broadcast room about what he had been holding back.
"Our factory used to be very busy, with a daily shipment of about 700 tons, but now people don't want our products anymore, saying that our products are of poor quality. The warehouse is full of our products, and the machines and workers have stopped working. After a while, we may have to sell this place, hoping to pay everyone's salary by then."
The old man's eyes were slightly hot, and he stared at the screen of his mobile phone in a trance. Suddenly, he found words popping up on the screen.
[Sell? Why sell? We can feed you! ]
[Damn ugly country, they cooperate with us when they need us, and kick us away when they don't need us! I can't stand this! My family will not buy foreign products from today! Where can you put your products on the shelves! ]
[The lips and teeth are cold! How many workers will lose their jobs if these factories go bankrupt? Our future life will not be much better! Since they were able to export before, it means that their product quality is definitely not bad! Everyone buy it! ]
[Don't you produce daily chemicals? My family is short of laundry detergent, do you have it? 】
【Finally, a manufacturer knows to start live streaming! Uncle! Hurry up and put your products on the shelves! I'll call someone to come to the live streaming room! 】
【Yes, I know you were deliberately framed! Don't panic! We're still here! 】
【We have many more people than the Ugly Country! Don't think we have no one left! Uncle, hurry up and put your stuff on the shelves! Today I'll show you our spending power! 】
The old man scanned the words on the screen and called out to the people in the factory in a panic: "Come on! Someone wants to buy our stuff! Who will put the goods on the shelves!"
His voice spread far away in the silent factory. After hearing the director's call, the people in the factory hurried over. At the old man's signal, they found that the number of people in the live streaming room was increasing.
From the initial dozens of people, to ten thousand, thirty thousand.
Netizens came to the live streaming room under the spontaneous promotion of Shannon Laboratory or people in the live streaming room.
The people in the factory have not read many books. They can watch live broadcasts and brush beautiful women, but they can't put goods on the shelves in the live streaming room. The old man hurriedly called the person who contacted him.
When the other party heard that there were already more than 30,000 people who wanted the products of the 68th Factory in the live broadcast room, his mind went blank in surprise.
Under the urging of the old man, the other party quickly found someone who would put the products on the shelves in the live broadcast room to explain to the old man, and then ran all the way to the conference room where Fu Daobin was.
Bang!
The door of the conference room was opened. Fu Daobin looked back and asked nervously, "What's wrong?"
"Director Fu, there are more than 30,000 netizens in the live broadcast room of the 68th Factory. They are now eager to buy the products of the 68th Factory!"
Fu Daobin's eyes widened slightly, and he asked anxiously, "Xiao Huang, are you serious?"
"It's true, this is their live broadcast room." After saying that, Xiao Huang handed Fu Daobin a mobile phone. Fu Daobin looked down and saw that the screen was full of netizens asking people from the 68th Factory to put up products.
Fu Daobin understood that Luo Yao's method worked.
He was still discussing with experts here to guide consumers to buy products from the factory targeted by the ugly country through the media. As a result, Luo Yao has now opened up the consumer-factory link, giving the factory hope.
Fu Daobin was overjoyed, and immediately arranged for experts to change their strategy and begin studying issues such as logistics and warehousing. He then asked Xiao Huang to send people to notify other factories to start live streaming and prepare to receive traffic!