Chapter 269 Brain Tank

Fan Wubing spent the past few days in Beijing very fulfilling, or very busy. This chapter is provided by the net to read online

On the one hand, the officials in Beijing and China attach great importance to him, and the more he talks about this kind of thing, it seems to be contagious. Even Boss Zhu invited him over to have an in-depth discussion on some economic issues. Both parties have benefited greatly.

Fan Wubing's advantage lies in his clear understanding of the various situations in the next ten years, the economic trend and the international and domestic situation, and some information fed back by Boss Zhu allows him to clearly understand the domestic situation. Where is the reform process stuck now, and what should I do to maximize the benefits without causing dissatisfaction at the top.

"The domestic economic situation is still easy to control. The biggest problem is the pressure from the international situation." Boss Zhu said.

Fan Wubing nodded, knowing that what Boss Zhu said meant something.

In order to develop China's economy, it must first formally integrate into the big family of the world economy. In other words, it must first join the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and restore China's status as a contracting party.

The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade is a multilateral international agreement on tariffs and trade rules concluded between governments. World resources, expanding the production and distribution of commodities.

In the 1930s and 1940s, world trade protectionism prevailed, and the mutual restriction of international trade was an important reason for the depression of the world economy. Therefore, after the end of the Second World War, in order to solve complex international economic problems, especially the formulation of international trade policies, it became an important task for all countries after the war.

In order to build the "money-finance-trade" trinity structure that influences the world economy, the Bretton Woods Conference was held in 1944, envisaging the establishment of an international trade organization while establishing the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. The "Havana Charter" signed by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Employment in 1947 agreed to establish the WTO, but due to the opposition of the United States, the WTO was stillborn.

same year. The United States drafted the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (gaTT) as a temporary contract to promote trade liberalization. As originally envisioned, GATT would soon be replaced by a specialized agency of the United Nations called the International Trade Organization (WTO). Yet this international trade organization never came into existence, whereas the GATT has been extremely successful in liberalizing world trade over the past few decades.

China is also one of the founding members of GATT and participated in the negotiation and signing of GATT. 1950. The Taiwan authorities announced their withdrawal from the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. Due to international and domestic historical reasons at that time, the current government could not immediately participate in GATT activities or maintain contact with it. To this day, China's status as a founding member of GATT has not yet been restored.

And according to generally recognized principles of international law. A country's government change should not affect the country's international treaty obligations and enjoyment of international treaty rights. That is to say, the Chinese government should enjoy all the rights of the contracting states.

"Americans are very troublesome." Boss Zhu is directly in charge of Sino-US negotiations. When I think of the arrogant appearance of the Americans on the negotiating table. Just a little upset.

Reform and Opening. The first is the opening of the market. But as it stands now. The Chinese mainland market is obviously not treated by the corresponding rights of the free market. That is. Foreigners do not recognize China's market economy. Naturally, Chinese export companies cannot be treated fairly.

July 1986. China formally applied to restore China's status as a contracting party in the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. February 1987. China formally submitted the memorandum of China's foreign trade system to the GATT Council. In March, the GATT Council decided to set up a working group on China. China has begun a long road to resumption of customs. Hu June 1988. China extended an invitation to the parties to the GATT to negotiate tariff concessions. At the seventh meeting of the Working Group the following year. The contracting party has completed an assessment of China's foreign trade system. The fifth round of Sino-US bilateral consultations on the resumption of customs relations was held in Beijing. Substantial progress has been made in the consultations. The resumption of negotiations is expected to be concluded by the end of the year. December of the same year. The eighth meeting of the GATT China Working Group was held in Geneva. In fact, the review of China's foreign trade system began again. New Year's Day in 1990. The Taiwan authorities applied to join the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade in the name of the separate customs territory of Taiwan, Penghu, Kinmen and Malaysia. brought variables to the negotiations.

Boss Zhu said to Fan Wubing with some emotion. "This month. The chairman of the GATT Council will make a statement on the issue of Taiwan's accession to the GATT based on the understanding reached through negotiations between China and the major contracting parties. It basically reflects the three principles of the Chinese government on the issue of Taiwan's entry into the customs .And the market access memorandum between China and the United States may also be reached as soon as possible. China's road to customs entry. Finally, we have seen a little light. It has been six years since we started."

Fan Wubing thought of the rough negotiation. It will take until 2001 to negotiate. I couldn't help but say something. "Six years may not be enough. According to the nature of the Americans, it will take at least eight more years to achieve results."

Boss Zhu asked in astonishment, "Is this really the case?"

Fan Wubing curled his lips and said, "It's very possible."

"Why is there such a judgment?" Boss Zhu asked with a frown.

It would be fine if someone else said this kind of thing, but it came out of Fan Wubing's mouth. It's impossible not to let him pay attention. Therefore, he seriously wanted Fan Wubing to explain the reason.

Fan Wubing accidentally told the history, and he regretted it. But I still need to elaborate on this, so after thinking about it, I said, "Now Americans are about to have a general election. According to my analysis, Bill Clinton of the Democratic Party will defeat George Bush and replace him in the White House. However, he is only forty-six years old. With his talents, he is crucial to the recovery of the US economy. Therefore, if there is no accident, he will be re-elected for two terms. Sino-US economic relations will be a major issue in his hands. Zhang is the most important hole card, so the answer will not be revealed too early, but in his hands, it is impossible not to bring this issue to an end. That's why I conclude that this negotiation will take at least another eight years, that is, Clinton It will end when the second term of the presidency is about to expire."

Boss Zhu was speechless after hearing Fan Wubing's inference. He never thought that Fan Wubing would have such an association. Just from the U.S. presidential election, China's entry negotiations could be calculated. The time limit is really amazing! Although this matter is not necessarily reliable or certain, Fan Wubing's method of calculation undoubtedly provided him with a new direction of reference.

Even when the Americans are not ready, no matter how well the Chinese are prepared, it is useless.

"Are you so unfavorable about George Bush's re-election?" Boss Zhu asked curiously. In his opinion, how could Fan Wubing be so sure about things that many experts on international issues couldn't figure out?

Fan Wubing said with a smile, "The United States has always been dominated by consortium politics. Whoever can stimulate the healthy development of the American economy will have a chance to enter the White House. This is generally the case. Although George Bush seems to have built military industries overseas, fat The only people who have lost their lives are arms dealers and oil tycoons, which is far from enough. What militarism has brought to the Americans is not rapid economic growth. Financial groups and voters who have not tasted the sweetness will not approve of such personal heroes. His resignation is doomed. So I can be sure that Bush will suffer a disastrous defeat in the election this time, so bad that he can't believe it himself!"

Boss Zhu smiled and said, "Anyway, it's more than a month before the U.S. election. When the time comes, you'll know if you're right after reading the results. But the analysis process is so unique, I hope to invite you As a think tank."

Fan Wubing hurriedly waved his hand and said, "Don't mention this, I'm too lazy to use that brain! When encountering big things, I can help you analyze and analyze the situation. For ordinary things, don't blame me for being lazy."

The skill of Fan Wubing's words, he neither objected nor agreed, but only vaguely indicated that he could provide some reference opinions for the central government's decision-making at an appropriate time, but he did not tie himself to death.

Boss Zhu is a smart person. Of course, it is impossible to think that Fan Wubing will put down a lot of his business to do free labor. If he can have this answer, it is considered quite good.

In fact, it is not necessarily the experts in the political research office who are the think tanks for the central chief. For the current government leaders who are focused on developing the economy, a gifted young man who can be called a genius in economics, he can play a role. A lot of experts who can only talk about it on paper compared it with their pens.

What's more, under the current situation of reform and opening up, there are basically no ready-made theories to learn from. Experts who study theories all day long, that is, when they make government reports or provide theoretical basis, they can barely have some knowledge. With a little help, they are actually quite confused about the direction of society. After all, not everyone is reborn like Fan Wubing.

At dinner time, Fan Wubing invited Boss Zhu to have dinner together at a well-known public restaurant in the capital.

There are many kinds of dishes here and the prices are reasonable. More importantly, Fan Wubing knew that Boss Zhu cared more about people's livelihood and didn't like places that were too arrogant, so he chose this place on purpose, but the two of them chose a corner and started When drinking tea and waiting for food, there is a problem.

Fan Wubing's eyes widened. Ouyang Xiaowei, who was dressed as a military cadet, actually walked in with a group of male and female military cadets who also passed on military uniforms without military ranks.