Chapter 475 Crisis

After the news of Texi's successful listing came back to China, Fan Heng was dumbfounded. It was hard to imagine that just a piece of information about signing a purchase and sale contract could make Fan Tesi's stock listing such a huge success. .

"It feels like I'm cheating money-" Fan Heng said to his son Fan Wubing.

Fan Wubing corrected him with a smile, "It's money trapping, not cheating. Only asking for money without getting anything in return is called cheating. Our company's profitability is foreseeable, but it hasn't been shown for the time being. But our After all, we have mines in our hands, with amazing reserves and high quality. This is our foundation. As for obtaining huge orders from mainland China, it is a shot in the arm for the Australians to make them more interested in Fantasy Company's We are confident about our prospects and sales.”

First of all, there are resources in the hand, and secondly, the sales of these resources are guaranteed, then do you still need to worry about money? Investors have this mentality, so they naturally want to pursue Fantasy's stocks.

"How is the situation in Jiangnan Province?" Fan Wubing stayed in the capital for a while, and then went to Shanghai for a while. When he returned to Jiangnan again, it was already April.

Speaking of Jiangnan Province, Fan Heng frowned and said, "Everything else is fine, except that the abnormal climate problem you mentioned is more serious. The impact of El Niño has been fully demonstrated. It is estimated that it is very likely to occur this year." The floods are contrary to the predictions and the scale is not small.”

On New Year's Day, the country promulgated the Flood Law, which for the first time included flood control in the legal provisions. This shows that high-level government officials have raised their estimate of this year's flood control situation by more than one level.

In fact, there have been four major floods since the 1990s. The middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River have to fight floods almost every year, but the situation is still under control. After all, the many reservoirs along the coast still play a big role.

However, this year's situation is special. First, there is the impact of El Niño and then La Niña's abnormal global climate. Without sustained and concentrated rainfall, floods in the Yangtze and Nenjiang river basins will definitely not occur. From this perspective, the main cause of the 1998 floods was natural disasters.

On the one hand, if the forest vegetation in the middle and upper reaches of the river had not been severely damaged, if the lakes downstream had not been reclaimed in large numbers, if the increase in water and soil erosion had not caused severe siltation of the river, and if the flood diversion area had not been blindly occupied and unable to start, it would not have been possible. If there is a situation where the rainfall and flow rate have not broken the record but the water level has repeatedly hit new highs, it is impossible to have a super flood situation where the flood will not recede for two months and the flood peak will be raging eight times.

The destruction of ecological vegetation in the upper reaches is also an important reason for causing flood disasters. But many people may not notice. The destruction of ecological vegetation is directly related to the one-sided propaganda of forestry achievements.

According to data published by the State Forestry Administration. By 1993.

China has already gotten rid of the situation of both forest area and stock volume declining and entered the era of "double growth". The country's forest area has increased from 0.8 billion hectares at the beginning of the founding of the People's Republic of China to 13.7 billion hectares. The forest coverage rate increased from 8.7% to 13.92%. Since 1993, it has maintained the performance of planting more than 3.6 million hectares of trees every year. In 1994, Guangdong, Fujian and Hunan announced that they had basically eliminated barren hills suitable for forestation. Anhui and other provinces and regions also announced the elimination of barren hills suitable for forestation.

Good news about forest lands often appears in the news media. Ordinary people can only conclude that my country's forest situation is very good or is heading towards a good situation.

But experts who are familiar with the situation are worried. Just dig a little deeper into the analysis. Then we know the problem of forestry propaganda.

In addition to the statistics of the State Forestry Administration. There is another set of figures listed in the Guangming Daily by the Soil and Water Conservation Department of the Ministry of Water Resources. From the 1950s to the 1980s, the forest area of ​​twelve provinces and regions in the Yangtze River Basin decreased by an average of 6 to 8 thousandths per year.

If the State Forestry Administration figures are correct. If the figures from the Soil and Water Conservation Department of the Ministry of Water Resources are correct, then the extent of forest growth is indeed gratifying. Then the figure released by the bureau that the national forest area has increased by more than 70% compared with the early days of the founding of the People's Republic of China is worthy of scrutiny.

What was cut down was the old forest that blocked out the sun, but the sparse and medium-sized young forest was planted. Therefore, even though the area has increased, forest quality and forestry productivity have definitely declined significantly, and loggers often complain that it is difficult to find decent forest materials.

What needs to be pointed out in particular is that a large number of primeval forests, known as ecological treasure houses and animal paradises, distributed in the middle and upper reaches of rivers in the northeast, southwest, and central south of my country, have been destroyed, leaving debts that can never be repaid. Even if they are 100% greened in the future, they will still be lost Not on this account. Because virgin forests are the green crystallization of hundreds of millions of years of evolution on earth, the comprehensive ecological functions of virgin forests are simply incomparable to artificial forests, and virgin forests and their functions cannot be replicated. In terms of water holding capacity alone, the water holding capacity of the canopy of a well-nurtured natural forest is seven to eight times higher than that of an artificial forest.

The soil's effective water storage capacity is six to seven times higher than that of plantation forests.

From the early days of the founding of the People's Republic of China to the present, it is probably a mystery how much of our country's virgin forests have been cut down and destroyed. It is also unknown how many natural forests are left today. Relevant people have never been interested in these figures. What they are interested in is the area of ​​afforestation, how much it increases every year, how much it increases in total over the years, and then publicizes "brilliant achievements" and so on.

It is precisely because of the one-sided publicity of the achievements of afforestation over the years, and even the exaggeration of such achievements intentionally or unintentionally, that many people are obsessed with the pursuit of afforestation area, coverage rate, growth rate, several major afforestation projects and other such achievements, while " However, they adopted an evasive or indifferent attitude towards the questions behind "Performance". As a result, they misled public opinion and caused some measures that should have been introduced earlier, such as stopping logging of natural forests, closing mountains for afforestation, and increasing investment in forestry, to be delayed, thereby increasing the risk of forest vegetation. of deterioration.

Even in Jiangnan Province, where the mountainous forest land is relatively intact, this phenomenon is serious.

Fan Heng said to Fan Wubing, "I conducted a helicopter survey on the province's environment. It's true that the forest coverage rate is high, but those decimal numbers have no effect at all. They just make the land greener. As for Talking about the role of retaining water and soil, humph, can turf retain water and soil? It’s simply a fantasy!”

"No one can do anything about this. Trees don't grow in a day -" Fan Wubing shook his head in shock after hearing this. After all, the economic benefits here are huge. He can cut down trees and sell them for money, and he can grow small crops. When saplings gain political achievements, it is in the interests of local officials to cut down big trees and plant small ones. How can you ask them to go to great lengths to solve the problem of water and soil conservation?

Promotion and wealth are the first priority, and everything else is secondary.

In fact, the misleading nature of propaganda and the emphasis on exaggerating achievements are not limited to forestry and water conservancy. Similar problems also exist in many fields. For example, those engaged in agriculture only talk about how much cultivated land has been expanded to increase food production, but not how many forests, lakes, ponds, wetlands and grasslands have been cultivated. Those engaged in industry only talk about how much output value, profits and taxes have been increased, but not how much debt has been incurred and how many resources have been wasted.

And every aspect emphasizes work and achievements. Agriculture talks about how much production is increased, forestry talks about how much afforestation is done, water conservancy talks about how many reservoirs are built, land talks about how much cultivated land is protected, environmental protection talks about how much pollution is controlled, there are as many institutions as there are fields, and there are as many political achievements as there are institutions. Political achievements are derived using the plane progressive calculation method.

Planted area, soil and water conservation area, per capita net income, and output value can all be derived using this method.

There are also "political achievements" that are "done" at a cost, but when publicizing or reporting, the price paid is often not mentioned, but only the "political achievements" achieved.

Just like Su Shi of the Song Dynasty criticized some methods of asking for rewards for official merit at that time, "Exchanging one cow for five sheep, the loss of one cow is concealed, but the gain of five sheep is regarded as meritorious achievements." Some such practices have added It is impossible for a system in which one level above the next level grasps the responsibility of the next level to be responsible to the next level without achieving political achievements, and it is also impossible not to cover up problems. In a certain sense, this year's floods are the bitter fruit of the parties concerned's long-standing efforts to highlight political achievements and cover up problems.

"Actually, there are also problems with the use of floodplains." Fan Wubing thought of something and said to Fan Heng, "The United States, like China, also has big rivers and wide floodplains. But as early as the 1950s, Americans have realized that although the government has invested a lot of money in the construction of flood control projects, flood losses are still increasing. The reason is the unrestricted development of land in floodplain areas. The government's investment in flood control projects and disaster relief The cost is the money of all taxpayers. Why do a few people go to floodplains to develop, but all taxpayers are required to provide protection for them and bear the risks for them? Therefore, the United States has included strengthening floodplain management in flood prevention and disaster reduction In the system, a series of regulations were formulated to restrict the development and utilization of floodplain areas. After many twists and turns, a national compulsory flood insurance system was established. The idea is that although the price of land in floodplain areas is cheap, the risk of floods is greater in places. , setting higher insurance rates can make floodplain areas less attractive, and people who do not participate in national flood insurance will no longer receive federal relief after a disaster."

After listening to his son's words, Fan Heng nodded and replied, "The truth is very clear, but it is not suitable for China's national conditions! It is not easy for ordinary people to make some money, and it is even harder to ask them to pay. And this rural area The awareness is also stronger, and it is not that simple to solve this problem.”

Fan Wubing said, "As long as the determination of the top management is strong enough, this problem will not be difficult to solve. The question is whether anyone is willing to take on this responsibility."

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