Chapter 1206 Meaningless Probability

"Cunning yellow wolf rat, you disgusting guy, don't you know that always being so smart will bring you death sooner or later?"

Scepter went completely berserk and cursed angrily.

Shi Lei was very calm, letting the scepter dance in his brain. He even picked up the bottle of red wine that he had opened before, poured a glass, and took a sip.

"Oh, it's been too long and it's already sour. I really can't get used to drinking this kind of cheap red wine now." Of course, Shi Lei wasn't really that arrogant. He was just deliberately angering the scepter. .

The scepter danced for a while, and finally slowly calmed down.

It tried its best to keep a purely mechanical voice and said to Shi Lei: "Fourth level manager, this mission is to find a batch of calligraphy and painting. This batch of calligraphy and painting includes many, detailed rosters. As noble as I am, I will put it in my mind later." The APP mode is stored in your brain and you can recall it at any time. There is no time limit for this task, but if you can complete it within the upcoming quota period, there will be a reward..."

Shi Lei interrupted Scepter's words because he suddenly remembered the previous task, which was about the manuscripts of twelve masters.

"Speaking of which, you haven't returned the manuscripts of the Twelve Masters to me yet, and the previous debts have not been paid off. It doesn't seem right that you guys are so eager to issue new tasks, right?"

Quan Zhi said bitterly: "The manuscripts of the twelve famous writers will be returned to you after you return to the country. Someone will send them to you specially when the time comes, so you don't have to worry."

Shi Lei shrugged and said: "Okay, let's not talk about those manuscripts. Old man Zheng just told me about a batch of calligraphy and paintings, and you couldn't wait to issue such a task. Do you expect me to give that house to me? To demolish it, dig three feet into the ground?”

Since they were all a collection of calligraphy and paintings, Shi Lei could easily think of what Mr. Zheng said when Wu Dong said goodbye to him.

The scepter ignored this. It just said: "About this mission, I can give you very few hints. I can only confirm the existence of the calligraphy and painting, but cannot determine its specific location and owner. This Everything needs to be found by the fourth-level manager.”

Shi Lei rolled his eyes and said, "Are you talking nonsense? There are no clues at all. Where do you want me to find those calligraphy and paintings? Just say they are underground in the house I bought, right? ?”

The scepter rarely showed some patience. It said: "The supreme black card, as well as the noble one like me, have never said that the relevant subject matter of this task is related to the house you purchased. This is just It's just your wishful thinking. The existence of this batch of calligraphy and painting is the result of the comprehensive analysis by the supreme black card through many messy clues. At present, we can only confirm the existence of this batch of calligraphy and painting, but we cannot determine its location. Because the people who hid this batch of calligraphy and paintings used some very special means to eliminate the possibility of detection. Since more than 80% of the clues we got came from Europe, we can make it. Judging from this, there is a high chance that these calligraphy and paintings are in Europe, not the house you mentioned."

Shi Lei frowned and thought, could he really misunderstand the black card and the scepter?

He asked again: "Are you sure it has nothing to do with that house?"

"I'm not sure about the nobleness, but the chance of those calligraphy and paintings being in Europe is much greater than that of the house you bought."

"This is far greater than, what kind of magic is it? What are the chances of it being in the old house?"

"Less than one in a million."

Shi Lei nodded and thought to himself, this is indeed a very small chance.

But he still felt something was wrong, so he asked again: "So what are the chances of being in Europe?"

"About one in a thousand."

"F*ck!" Shi Lei cursed directly.

thousandth? This is indeed much larger than one in a million, directly a thousand times difference in odds.

However, the difference between one thousandth and one millionth is so small that this difference only exists mathematically and has no meaning for the actual probability.

Moreover, that house has a larger area? Just over an acre of land.

Including the surrounding streets, that is, the responsible area of ​​​​the house is only more than two acres of land.

But what about Europe? How big is Europe as a whole? Europe is not just a thousand times bigger than that house.

If we consider this probability factor based on the size of the area, the probability of that batch of calligraphy and paintings appearing in Europe will probably not be greater than that of appearing in that house, and will even decrease as the area shrinks.

This is simply a huge pit!

"Can you still ask for a face? In such a large area in Europe, there is only one thousandth chance of finding those calligraphy and paintings, and that house is much bigger? In terms of area, the chance of finding those calligraphy and paintings in Europe is actually the opposite. Smaller?"

The scepter rotated slowly and said very coldly: "Level 4 manager, your mathematical and logical abilities are really worrying. The chance of having calligraphy and painting in that house is only one in a million, so if its area is Expanding to the size of the entire Europe, the probability will only decrease further, and it will probably be less than one in hundreds of millions. And if the probability of those calligraphy and paintings in Europe is considered based on the area of ​​Europe, either, it will shrink. Then the probability will become zero, or the probability will increase greatly after shrinking. How can it be converted in the way you think? "

Shi Lei could understand the meaning of the scepter, because if Europe was divided into two, then these calligraphy and paintings must exist in half of it, while the other half was the part that was carved out. As a result, on the land where those calligraphy and paintings exist, the chance of finding them will double, while on the other land, the chance will drop directly to zero.

"Then you should reduce the area for me, preferably to a specific location, so that the chance of me finding those calligraphy and paintings will be 100%."

"Stupid groundhog, if the supreme black card and nobleness can do it like me, do you still need to say it? I simply doubt that your brain development is less than 3%. Or, It's because your brain capacity is too small, so even if you develop your brain 100%, there won't be any fundamental change for you. "

Shi Lei rolled his eyes and was too lazy to argue with the scepter. He said directly: "Europe is so big, please forgive me for my incompetence. There is no way I can find those damn calligraphy and paintings. It will definitely not be completed within three months, even after I die." It was impossible to complete it before. All I can do is to try my best. If one day I have clues about those calligraphy and paintings, I promise you that I will try my best. But for now, let's stop making trouble and let me be like a girl. Do you think my ability has exceeded the limit of a black card when searching for the whereabouts of a batch of calligraphy and paintings in Europe like a headless fly? Let me look for something that it can't even find? "

The scepter was stunned for a moment, and seemed to think that what Shi Lei said made sense, but it had to seduce Shi Lei with rewards.

"Level 4 manager, don't you want to hear what kind of reward you will get if you complete this task within three months?"

Shi Lei waved his hands and said with disgust: "Forget it, I may feel very upset after hearing this, but I really don't want to put all my energy into such a large European area in the next three months." , to find a batch of calligraphy and painting. However, since the task has been released, you still need to give me the tools, so get that tool first!"

1.