897 Probabilistic Events

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Best Sound Editing, "Hugo." "Desperate Drive" and "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" both lost.

Best sound effects, "Hugo". "War Horse" and "Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" are both broken.

Following the presentation of the two trophies in the supporting role department, the technical department announced the winners of two more awards. "Hugo" continued its hot and powerful momentum tonight, taking the lead, only in the best costume design and the best soundtrack. I missed this award, and now I have five golden statuettes in my hands, leading the competition for the best film tonight.

However, the next decisive battle will officially enter the climax/climax stage, and the core main awards will debut.

If in the technical department, the showdown between "Hugo" and "artist" is the main theme, and "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" and "War Horse" are waiting for the opportunity, and the overall pattern is relatively clear; then the core awards department is the whole awards season. The epitome of: a melee.

But it is precisely in this melee, every work has a chance to win, and every work also has a chance to be upset. Once it can gain an advantage in the core awards department, the competition for the best film will show a completely different look. Come.

In fact, the supporting actor department is the core award. In the competition for the best supporting actor, "Moneyball" and "Extremely Loud, Very Close" failed to break through the siege; in the competition for the best supporting actress, "Help" Beat the "artist".

Both awards are the real frontrunners in the awards season, which means that the chaos will continue: the so-called frontrunners have not been able to upset their weak points, while the so-called accompanying runners are in their own strengths. Among them had the last laugh. If the following script and protagonist departments continue to be like this, then the winner of the best picture may really explode.

Tina Fey joined steve-martin on stage to present two awards in the script department. These two comedians with outstanding reputation in the industry are also excellent screenwriters. It is really suitable for them to be the guests of honor.

The first to be announced is the award for Best Adapted Screenplay.

"President Killing Bureau", "Hugo", "Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy", "Moneyball", "Descendants", five works ranked among the top five nominated.

With the exception of "The President's Killing Bureau," four other productions were nominated for Best Picture. If they still want to save a glimmer of hope of competing for the ultimate award, then the Best Adapted Screenplay Award must not be missed, especially the "Moneyball", which has not been able to reverse the upset in the Best Supporting Actor department, this award has become their last hope.

The script of "Moneyball" was written by two great screenwriters, Aaron Sorkin and Steven Zellian. It is the biggest hit in the screenwriting department, and they need to face two major problems. Competitors are "Hugo" and "Descendants".

The former was written by John Logan, "Gladiator" and "The Aviator," which have won two Oscar nominations; the latter was written by Alexander Payne, "School" and "Wine Life" was also nominated twice and won once.

Steve Martin revealed the winners, "Alexander Payne, nat-faxon, jim-rash, 'Descendants.'"

In an instant, the soon-to-be-historic "Kodak" theater received thunderous applause!

The victory of "Descendants" first means that "tinkers, tailors, soldiers, spies" and "Moneyball" are left behind, and the best picture contenders basically have no hope; secondly, it means that "Descendants" still maintains The strong position of the first group, the competitiveness in the next several awards is still not to be underestimated.

The suspense increased, and the ceremony looked good.

Of course, objectively speaking, among the five nominated seats, "Descendants" is also the most outstanding work. During the awards season, the overall momentum is still slightly ahead. The whole work can occupy the position of the first group, and the script is excellent. Undoubtedly. It can be said that this is an award that must be won on the road of "Descendants" competing for the best film, and there is no compromise or retreat.

Now, "Descendants" won!

Just as "Help" must win Best Supporting Actress, "Moneyball" must win Best Adapted Screenplay or Best Supporting Actor, and "Tree of Life" must win Best Cinematography. If it succeeds, it retains any hope of competing for the best picture; if it fails, it is immediately out. So, "Help" stayed, "Moneyball" and "Tree of Life" fell behind.

Likewise, "Midnight in Paris" had to win Best Original Screenplay; the truth is, it did.

Tina Fey announced the results, winning the third Best Original Screenplay Award for Woody Allen; at the same time, it also kept "Midnight in Paris" in the ranks of the best picture competition.

In the competition for the best original screenplay, "Ultimatum", "Bridesmaids", "A Farewell", "The Artist" and "Midnight in Paris" became candidates.

Throughout the awards season, "Midnight in Paris" has a very obvious advantage in the script department, and even the "Descendants" are difficult to compete. Paris" will likely be Woody's second best picture win after "Annie Hall."

Now, the competitive landscape is open. "Midnight Paris" is not the strongest competitor, but like "Descendants", it retains its competitiveness.

The awards ceremony is coming to an end: Best Editing, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Director, Best

Film.

Every award matters and could revolutionize the landscape. So far, five trophies for "Hugo" and two trophies for "Artist" come from the technical department; "Descendants", "Midnight in Paris", and "Help" each have a core department trophy, and the next five awards, Intricate, interwoven into a brocade, pulling one hair and moving the whole body.

Best Editing Award, five works including "Moneyball", "Hugo", "The Artist", "Descendants" and "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" will compete against each other. "In addition to "Moneyball", which is determined to be left behind, whoever can get this trophy in the other three works means that the balance of victory is tilted.

Especially "Hugo", after winning the Best Cinematography Award, if the Best Editing Award is in the bag, then the best film is a high probability event.

However, when the answer was revealed, all the guests in the audience broke their glasses: "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo".

Not "Hugo" or "Artist" or "Descendants" or even "Moneyball" but "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" who didn't win a Best Picture nomination, but tonight in the rest of the tech sector The "Dragon Tattoo Girl" Who Was Totally Ignored!

David Fincher's two royal editors, following last year's "Social Network", won the Best Editing Award for the second year in a row, achieving even Zhuangzhuang, and at the same time completely breaking the pattern of the awards season——

The "Girl with the Dragon Tattoo", who was completely out of the competition for the best picture, won the "Small Best Picture Award", and there was no real winner in the competition for the best editing.

The currently dominant "Hugo" and "Artist" have not been able to expand their advantages, and both have slowed down; while "Descendants", "Midnight Paris" and "Help", which are not dominant in technical awards, have gained momentum. In the battle between the two acting departments after that, it is clear that they have begun to stand out: George Clooney of "Descendants" and Viola Davis of "Help" are the biggest favorites for their respective awards.

This also means... This still means that things are still spinning in place, the upset of the Best Editing Award has kept the suspense, the leader has not been able to expand their advantage, the laggards continue to sit firmly on the Diaoyutai, the best film is the real life The emperor was still covered in a veil and fell into the mist.

When the presenter Angelina Jolie announced the winners, a gasp of breath could be heard at the scene. Even the "Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" crew was taken aback and looked at each other, thinking they were listening Wrong, can't believe this is actually happening.

"Pfft." Ryan, who was sitting beside Renly's left, laughed with laughter and said in a low voice, "I have never seen such a chaotic and absurd awards ceremony."

Renly couldn't help but smile and nodded in agreement, "Even in 2005, it wasn't so chaotic, it's up to us to see who will be upset."

Above the seventy-eighth Oscar, "Gei/Shaman/Memoir" and "King Kong", two works that were not nominated for the best picture, joined forces to dominate the technical department; while the core department was in chaos, with the exception of the best picture. Seven awards were won by six works respectively. "Brokeback Mountain" won two golden figures for best director and best adapted screenplay.

This year, the chaos is even worse.

From a purely probabilistic point of view, the five works of "Hugo", "The Artist", "Descendants", "Midnight in Paris" and "The Help" are truly equal opportunities, and each work is 20%. The record, even losing the "help" of the best director and best editing nominations, is not left behind at this time.

The overall situation of the awards season has continued to the awards ceremony, which means that each subsequent award will be heavier, more suspenseful, and more tense, and every minute and every second will make the award more important. People suffocate.

The buzzing discussion continued to spread. The panic and unease, anticipation and apprehension in the eyes of the guests at the scene filled the air with agitation until Colin Firth took the stage. Still haven't been able to dissipate.

However, the awards ceremony has to go on. Colin is about to present the Best Actress Award. Whether the equal probability can break the balance, this is a start.

The five nominees for Best Actress are Meryl Streep of "Iron Lady", Viola Davis of "The Help" and Michelle William of "My Week with Monroe" James, Glenn Cross in "Androgyny", Rooney Mara in "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo."

Among the candidates, Rooney is too young to be nominated for the first time to encourage her, and the overall momentum of the "Girl with the Dragon Tattoo" is far from being enough. In the public relations of the awards season, it is the best affirmation to be among the nominations.

Glenn is too low-key, and the work "Heroes" was mentioned a lot during the awards season, but the public relations were weak, and he only chose an independent distribution company. burst.

Not surprisingly, Rooney and Glenn should not be the final winners this year. So, all eyes are on Meryl, Viola and Michelle, from which this year's actress will be born.

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