1534 Is There a Possibility
During Gaevra's visit to the Federation, there was a very special topic that quickly spread in society in a very short period of time.
The question is not complicated and everyone can understand it——
"If a war breaks out, where will it break out first?"
There are triggers in any war, even if it is an unprovoked war of aggression, there will be triggers.
When the degree of civilization of society gets rid of people's definition of "barbarism", people need to find an excuse for themselves before doing something.
Maybe some people are confused, is this excuse really necessary?
It was already an active invasion. Do we still need such an excuse?
In fact, it is necessary. It is just like some bullying and violence in schools. Those bullies will not punch you for no reason.
They will first have some physical contact with you, for example, they bump into you on purpose, and then say that you bumped into them on purpose, and then wave their fists at you.
In fact, whether or not there is such a reason, if he wants to hit you, you can only be beaten passively, so why is this reason needed?
Because everyone has the most basic sense of right and wrong.
When your behavior is not supported by people, or even when people strongly oppose your behavior, it will cause a lot of trouble to you, your behavior, and your purpose!
These troubles not only exist externally, but also internally.
Because human beings are thoughtful and have the most basic view of right and wrong. Except for a few people, in fact, most people still have light in their hearts.
Maybe these people are demons in the eyes of others, and they engage in terrible behaviors, but from another perspective, in the eyes of these perpetrators and those behind them, the cause they carry out is just!
Nothing in this world is absolute, including justice.
When people hold high the banner of justice to destroy evil, perhaps in the eyes of these evil groups, they are the real victims.
So a proper excuse is not to deceive yourself, but to give yourself, and those behind you, a reason enough for them to fight regardless of their own safety!
So, where and in what form will this reason explode?
There are many speculations, and everyone is making speculations surrounding the friction that occurred between the Federation and Pengeo.
The more common view is that it may be related to the issue of the Lemar Islands and Marillo. Recently, Penteio has unabashedly carried out some trade with Marillo, which has also increased the pressure on the northern part of the Federation. .
The Federation once condemned Pentio's export of various weapons to Marillo as an act of playing with fire, but if the condemnation had worked, there would be no war in the world.
The Federation has already expressed its stance, and neither side seems to have any intention of stopping trade. Therefore, people speculate that Marillo is more likely to trigger a war!
"Actually, I prefer Amelia." In the room, high-level government officials from Gefra and the Federation were also discussing this issue.
But this was not a serious diplomatic meeting, just a closed-door, less serious internal exchange.
All eyes were focused on Lynch in an instant, including the Prime Minister.
The expressions of Gaevra's representatives suddenly became not so good-looking. Originally, they thought that these things had nothing to do with them.
After all, the Federation's status in the international community is getting higher and higher, and it is also the core country of the World Development Council. If the two groups collide, it will definitely be a "king versus king" collision.
That is to say, Penjiao will directly target the Federation, and only the Penjiao people may hinder the military power of the Federation militarily.
But Lynch's words suddenly made people realize that this war was not strictly a war between the Federation and Pengeo, but a collision after the world was divided into two!
Mr. Trueman was also here. His expression didn't change much. He moved his fingers slightly and said, "Tell me the reason."
Lynch sat slightly to the side, the only unofficial participant in such an internal meeting.
Mr. Trueman trusts him, so he can go a little overboard and join in. No one will say that it is inappropriate for him to do so. The new president is different from the past.
Not only is it strong, it also has strong capital.
With Mr. Trueman's permission, Lynch smiled and began to explain his views.
"Gentlemen, nothing can attract people's attention more than a battle of revenge!"
"Looking at the last world war, although every country suffered losses, there was only one case of losses that could involve hatred."
Lin Qi glanced at the people sitting on the sidelines and couldn't help but smile, "Amelia."
"It sounds like it's a lease, but in fact, it's a land cessation. We all know this."
“Would it be more just if the country behind it, driven by the Pengeo people, took the lead in launching a military operation to ‘retake the lost territory’?”
"Once a war breaks out, use this place as a point to quickly spread to the surrounding areas."
Mr. Gu
“Whether it’s a reason, an excuse, or the geography of it, it’s the most suitable!”
When Lynch said this, everyone in the room became serious.
In fact, Lynch still has something to say. Nothing can boost morale more than destroying the "overlord" in the last world war directly face-to-face!
The stronger the Federation's performance, the less likely it is that a war will break out between Pengeo and the Federation directly. Any war needs to go through a process.
If they can defeat the Gevra people who once humiliated them head-on and regain the land they lost, it will be a great victory for the entire Penteo military group!
And by continuing westward from Amelia, you can directly advance to a position close to the Federation. From here, whether it is to launch a campaign against the Federation or launch an attack across the sea against Gaevra, it is the optimal geographical location.
Pengeo and his subordinate states can avoid too many battles with the two naval powers on the sea. As long as they can capture a small area, they can continue to land landings.
In the past two years, both Gaevra and the Federation have put a lot of effort into collecting intelligence on Pengeo and its subordinate countries.
For this military group, their strategy has undergone some changes compared to World War I.
They have never considered having a decisive battle with two naval powers on the sea, which can be seen from their complete abandonment of the construction of large battleships.
They used their excess productivity to build sea fortresses and fast landing ships.
It was a very special landing ship. It was faster and carried more soldiers.
Judging from the current strategic thinking shown by Pengeo, they want to maximize the advantages of their army.
It is probably not a joke to use a landing ship to cross the entire Eastern Ocean, but if it is just across the strait, then it is obviously not impossible.
And it can also pose a threat to Nagaril and contain the federation's main navy off the coast of Nagaril.
Coupled with the constraints of Northern Marillo's efforts to cross the border on land, it can be said that Lynch assumed a very perfect strategic plan in just a few words.
People's expressions were solemn and gloomy.
So does the Prime Minister.
"If they launch an attack on Amelia first"
His eyebrows were knitted together tightly, making it difficult to separate them!
Everyone knows very well that Gaevra's army cannot be said to have no combat effectiveness, it can only be said to be completely for decoration.
More importantly, the indigenous people in the Amelia region do not have much sense of belonging to Gaevra. Once the war breaks out, they will not be able to resist their former motherland in order to safeguard Gaevra's interests.
This means that the Amelia region is likely to be lost.
Once this important development area, which has consumed Gaifra's finances for ten years, is lost, the blow to Gaifra will be devastating!
It is even possible that they will no longer be able to maintain their strength as a world-class country and fall directly to the second or third place!
Although Gaevra's ruling group has changed, the overall national strategy has never wavered.
Lynch's hypothesis really made them a little bit intolerable.
The Prime Minister glanced at Lynch and then looked away.
In the quiet room, Lynch was the only one smoking a cigarette and drinking wine leisurely. After a few minutes, the Prime Minister looked at Mr. Trueman.
Although he said nothing, Mr. Trueman understood what he meant.
The two made eye contact for a moment, but there was no substantive result. This matter still needs to be discussed in detail.
The Prime Minister's intention is nothing more than to use the strength of the Federation to defend the Amelia region. However, if the Federation's army is mobilized, the security of the Federation itself will become a problem.
Marillo's attitude is actually very obvious. They are determined to stand with Pengio.
The internal exchange quickly ended with Lynch saying something like, well, you can't say he's unlikable, but the hypothesis he raised was very important.
Instead of going back to their respective homes, the group went directly to the Ministry of Defense.
The Strategic Command conducted deductions based on Lynch's hypothesis, and soon they came to a conclusion.
If the Pengeos really do this, the world war situation will quickly fall into a quagmire!
The Amelia region will become a battlefield meat grinder. A colonel officer even put forward the idea of "no victory but no defeat". The Pengeo people can definitely use the Amelia region as an important battlefield.
Constantly attracting the Gaevra people to invest troops here, and then destroying this part of the effective force again and again, until Gaevra completely collapsed.
If the Federation wants to intervene, this is also a very difficult choice for the Federation.
Because the federal army is not large in number!