Chapter 1516 Black Swan

Now that the battle situation in the south has turned, everyone can see that after the Jumonville Corps suffered a major setback in Delin Town, it has lost the invincible vigor that it had at the beginning of the war and was unable to continue going north. As a result, the war has come to a stalemate.

Now that the crisis in Yalfheim has been alleviated, the imperial authorities will pay more attention to Midgard, and military aid will also be more inclined to Midgard.

At the same time, the soldiers and civilians of Midgard were also encouraged by the victory of the southern compatriots.

Even the southerners with outdated equipment and outdated tactics were able to defeat the invincible sea blue general Louis Jumonville in Delin Town. The regular army of Midgard and the militia are no worse than the Feiren of Jotunheim. How many, and the level of equipment is similar. The enemy has no famous generals in command, but our commander is Baron Laval, the "butcher" of Megatron in the New World. What is there to be afraid of?

The question worth pondering now is no longer whether the Phi people will invade Midgard, but when will our army be able to march northward to Jotunheim and conquer New Avalon!

This kind of optimistic to almost manic mentality is generally popular in various pubs, clubs and even social venues of the upper class in Midgard City.

After Joan returned to school, he also felt this optimistic atmosphere.

Although he was not in favor of taking the initiative to start a war against Jotunheim, he was unavoidably influenced by mainstream ideas on campus and in society, thinking that Master Fei had missed the opportunity to start a war.

The paper proposal that was passed by the lower house of the Feizhen Council, which was like a declaration of war, turned out to be nothing more than intimidation on paper, just like those alarmist and strange proposals in the past, the final outcome was nothing more than nothing, and it was quickly known by the world forget.

However, Joan seemed to have a different view of the current situation after listening to what Professor Moriarty said, which made him both surprised and curious, and couldn't help asking.

"Teacher, General Jumonville has just lost a battle in the south. The ambition of the sea blue people to invade Alfheim has been curbed. Do the Fierce of Dunheim dare to launch a war against Midgard?"

"Joan, your point of view is exactly what the majority of people think. Of course the mainstream view is reasonable, but sometimes the development of the situation will deviate from most people's predictions, just like a 'black swan' suddenly appearing from a group of white swans '."

"However, there are no black swans in the world." Joan couldn't help complaining.

"You haven't counted the coat colors of all swans in the world, how can you be sure that there are absolutely no black swans?" Professor Moriarty retorted.

"Well, at least no black swans have been found so far," Joanne shrugged. "Historical statistics can be used to guide future decisions."

"It's not a 'guidance', my child, whether it's common sense, mainstream ideas, or historical data, it's just a reference. If the development of things always conforms to historical data or mainstream ideas, there will be no unexpected changes in the world. However, this is not true.”

"The similarity between the stock exchange and the battlefield is that there are always unexpected fluctuations."

"If prices always go up and down in line with the expectations of the majority, then there is no opportunity for speculation in this market and no one can make money."

"If the two sides in the war always arrange their troops according to the historical battle records, then everyone already knows the outcome of the war before the war starts, so why is there any need to start a war?"

"Speculative operations in securities trading are often accompanied by huge risks, as well as huge returns that are equal to the risks."

"In war, there are also many risky moves by soldiers. It is precisely because they are beyond the expectations of most people that they can achieve surprising results."

Professor Moriarty held his pipe and smiled mysteriously.

"If I were the decision maker of the Jotunheim military, I would choose a time when the general public believes that it is impossible to start a war, and catch the Midgard military by surprise."

Joan doesn't fully agree with the mentor's rebellious thinking that is against the mainstream opinion, but he has to admit that there is indeed such a possibility pointed out by the mentor.

The shadow of war still hovers over Midgard, and the fact that most people ignore it is certainly a dangerous omen.

The more Joan thinks deeply, the heavier his heart becomes. However, at this time, he publicly jumps out to "sing the wrong tune" and reminds people to beware of Zhenren Fei's sudden attack, which will inevitably make him look like a clown who scares people and sensationalizes them. I don't want to get into a predicament.

After thinking about it, if the discussion is about the academic issues of arcane law, at least I can be regarded as a well-known young scholar. If I stand up and say something, I still have some influence.

However, I am not an authoritative figure on public political issues such as "war". Even if I express my opinions, they will not be conveyed to the ears of high-level military officials, let alone cause any social repercussions. Worrying about this is completely superfluous.

After bidding farewell to the tutor, Joan left the campus and returned to the apartment.

In the days that followed, his life returned to a state of tranquility.

In addition to the previous schedule, Joan also added a new sword training.

His classmates and friends living under the same roof, Audrey, Hylar and Holden, are all masters of swordsmanship. Of course, Joan must make full use of this convenient condition, and often ask Hailar and Zion for sword skills .

Audrey, Holden, and Hyrule were very loyal to Joanna, and they all taught him their sword skills without any secrets.

This is of course a good thing, but there are too many "masters", and occasionally it will bring happiness troubles to Joan, who is a "apprentice".

Audrey's swordsmanship style is mainly stable, first laying down a tight defense, and then looking for opportunities to counterattack. Many moves require the cooperation of the sword and shield.

Holden's weapon is a dagger, with exquisite and changeable swordsmanship styles, combined with light and flexible agility to adapt to changing situations, and often has unexpected strange moves.

Hailar uses a heavy giant sword with a wild and fierce style, wide opening and closing, no fancy moves, and purely relying on strength and momentum to overwhelm the opponent.

The swordsmanship styles of the three are very different. When instructing Joan to train swordsmanship, differences of opinion will inevitably arise.

Especially Holden and Hailaer often have diametrically opposed understandings of swordsmanship, and their disputes are so intense that they cannot be reconciled.

Holden ridiculed Hailar's simple and crude swordsmanship, just like "a farmer wielding a hoe" or "a bear swatting a mosquito", relying purely on brute force, foolishness and lack of skill.

Hyrule asserts that Holden's swordsmanship is at best a "circus juggling show", which looks colorful, but in fact it is useless and can only fool the layman.