Chapter 1542: The Opportunity of Russia

"What's Pu and Jing doing?"

Cai Ruichen asked in a deep voice.

Pu and Beijing are indeed very busy these days, and it can be said that their feet do not touch the ground.

Before coming to Hangzhou, Putin and Beijing made a surprise inspection of the combat readiness of the Western Military Region, and conducted a live ammunition exercise, everything was full of surprise.

In the past two days, the problems between Russia and Ukraine have also been clouded.

At the checkpoint between Crimea and Ukraine, Russian special forces captured several Ukrainian special forces spies. At this point, Russia was quite angry. The authorities accused the Ukrainian government of organizing the execution of what happened in Crimea. of terrorist attacks.

Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev has even begun to deliberately release rumors about the complete severance of diplomatic relations with Ukraine.

Putin and Beijing made a surprise inspection of the combat readiness of the Western Military Region, and Xiang Zhuang's sword dance was also aimed at Pei Gong.

"Pu and Beijing are secretly meeting with the president of Turkey." Natasha replied.

Cai Ruichen basically understood the secret meeting between the leaders of Russia and Turkey.

Although there is still a long way to go before Russia uses force against Ukraine, war may become an option for Russia to solve the Ukraine issue in the future.

This is not determined by the situation in Ukraine itself, but the evolution of the situation in the Middle East may provide Russia with a new opportunity to use war to solve the Ukrainian issue.

Because Russia does not have many ways to deal with international issues like the United States and its hometown. Russia’s economic strength and manufacturing capabilities are not enough. The most effective means is military. Therefore, for Putin and Beijing, problems that can be solved by military means will not be solved. By other means, this is not only determined by the cards that Putin and Beijing can play, but also by the thinking habits of Russians in dealing with problems.

Therefore, for Putin and Beijing, whether to use troops in Ukraine depends on whether the means of war can solve the problem rather than other things.

In fact, since Ukraine fell into civil war, there has not been a day of ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, only the size of the conflict.

The so-called ceasefire means that large-scale battles have temporarily disappeared, but small-scale conflicts have never ended. In fact, this has not only dragged down Ukraine, but also dragged down Russia. Therefore, Putin and Beijing want to solve the Ukrainian problem quickly. I don't want to keep procrastinating.

past,

The fundamental reason why Putin and Beijing did not use military means is not that Putin and Beijing did not want to use them, but that using them would only bring about greater troubles. The probability of failure is far greater than the probability of success. will choose.

Therefore, if it can be confirmed that military means can solve the Ukrainian issue, then Putin and Beijing will definitely use it.

Whether it can be done depends not on Russia's military power, but on whether there is an opportunity in the game of great powers. To put it bluntly, it means whether the pattern of the game between the United States and Russia gives Putin and Beijing an opportunity to send troops.

Whether Putin and Beijing will send troops to Ukraine will involve not only the issues of the Iraqi-Syrian Federation and the Middle East, but also the issues of Turkey.

Because of the relationship between the Iraqi-Syrian Federation, what Russia has lost in the Middle East is not only Syria's own interests, but also its relationship with Turkey.

On the other hand, in this war, Iran, Russia's little brother, was killed by the United States, which dealt a heavy blow to Russia.

Iran has the second largest natural gas reserves in the world, and it is not far from Europe. In terms of cost, most of Russia's natural gas is concentrated in the Far East. Compared with the transmission of natural gas from Iran to Europe, Russia has to bear more much cost.

Once the pipelines for Iran's natural gas transmission are all paved, Iran will be more convenient than Russia.

Therefore, Russia has always maintained a good relationship with Iran, in order to one day be able to restrict Europe in terms of natural gas.

In this war, the reason why NATO is willing to participate in the war against Iran with the United States is also to break Russia's natural gas monopoly.

Otherwise, even if the United States is talking about hype, how many countries in NATO are willing to send troops to Iran?

And from Europe to Turkey and the border with Iran, all natural gas pipelines have been built.

In other words, once Iran falls under the control of NATO, it only takes a few days, and Iran's natural gas can be transported to every country in Europe immediately.

Facing the benefits that can be obtained immediately, European countries flock to it.

Iran, which has the world's second largest natural gas reserves, is also fully capable of independently supplying the natural gas consumption of the entire Europe. That is to say, by then, Russia's trump card of using natural gas against Europe will not work at all.

That's why when Cai Ruichen was going to Russia, Putin and Beijing kept summoning Cai Ruichen. Unfortunately, Cai Ruichen kept making jokes and didn't answer the topic of Pu and Beijing at all.

But on the surface, the Iraqi-Syrian Federation sent troops to help Iran and attack NATO, which made Putin and Beijing quite admired.

At the same time, it also allowed Putin and Beijing to see a new opportunity, a chance to solve Ukraine. Moreover, Putin and Beijing believed that after the Iraqi-Syrian Federation intervened in the Iranian war, Russia would definitely be more capable than Europe in influencing Iran on the issue of natural gas. decision of the Syrian Federation.

To put it bluntly, Putin and Beijing have the confidence and ability to persuade Cai Ruichen not to send natural gas to Europe.

As for now, Cai Ruichen can also understand the thoughts and courage of Putin and Beijing. After all, now is the best time to attack Ukraine, and the weather is warm, which is the most suitable time to send troops.

At the same time, the Iraqi-Syrian Federation has achieved victories on the battlefield with NATO. The attack on the US military bases in Europe has reduced the US military presence in Europe to the lowest level after World War II.

How could Putin and Beijing not seize such a good opportunity?

But Turkey's problems are not small. What Putin and Beijing are most worried about is that once Turkey, which has the largest army in NATO, participates in the war against the Iraq-Syria Federation, it will cause fundamental changes in the war.

The reason is simple. In the west of Ukraine, dozens of armored divisions of the NATO coalition forces have never withdrawn since the Soviet era. Both sides have deployed a large number of elite troops on the front of the open space.

Once Russia sends troops to Ukraine, NATO has no pressure in the south of the Caucasus and is determined to help Ukraine, then Russia still has the risk of falling into the quagmire of war.

Therefore, the current relationship between the Iraqi-Syrian Federation and Russia is at this level of tacit understanding. Everyone does not need to say more, and everything can be experienced by themselves.

At this time, it is also the most critical stage. This summit is destined to be full of smoke of war. (To be continued.)