Chapter 238 Never Bet on Mentality

[Those who died last night were Player No. 3 and Player No. 10]

After the last words of player No. 6's self-destruction, the system announced the circumstances of last night's death.

3. 10 double deaths!

Witch No. 10 honestly doesn’t deceive me. She is indeed the poisonous Player No. 3. This time, one wolf is replaced by two good people.

The most important thing is that the Wolf Blade is in front, and the Wolves are undoubtedly in the lead in the current round.

[The next step is to enter the last words stage]

The system beep sounded again.

Those who lose on the first night all have last words. Whether they die by taking a knife, poison or some other method of death, as long as they are eliminated on the first night, they will have last words.

Therefore, after player No. 6 self-destructs, the game will not enter the dark night immediately. He will have to wait for players 3 and 10 to finish his last words before entering the second night.

[Player No. 3 please leave a last message]

"The witch took the knife on the first night. There's nothing we can do about it. We can only say that the Wolves were lucky and hit the good guy's artery with the knife."

"Fortunately, I am just a civilian. If I were a guard hunter or something like that, this game would be completely ruined."

"Although the situation is relatively disadvantageous now and the round is slightly behind, the good guys still have hope of making a comeback. After all, the guards are there. If they operate properly, there is still a chance to bring the round back."

"My suggestion is that the guards should not bet on mentality at night, and just guard player No. 1. If at this time, the guards are still thinking about who is the prophet among players 1 and 4, then I have nothing to say."

"Police officer, I didn't know that player No. 7 was cheating on his identity. I thought he was a prophet, so I said he would trade his life for a police badge."

"As long as the witch can survive until night, and the guard goes to guard player No. 4, and the next day 4 is down, doesn't that mean that 6 is the witch? In the end, 1 is the prophet, and 6 is the wolf who will investigate and kill the jumping witch. .”

"Judging from their speech and behavior, 6 and 7 should not meet each other. There is a high probability that No. 7 is a good person. At this time, we cannot rush to compete with each other to identify each other."

"Theoretically, this is possible, but now we don't have such a round, so we can only regard player No. 7 as a good guy who fakes his identity."

Player No. 3 did not blame the witch for poisoning him. The witch took the first stab last night, so he should have poisoned him. In this case, he could only gamble on luck.

It is a pity that player No. 10 is not very lucky and did not blindly poison the wolf. But luckily among the misfortunes, he is just a civilian.

What if he was a guard or a hunter? Then you can only hand in your cards and admit defeat, there is no way to play.

Now as long as the good guys stand firmly on the side of player 1 and guard 1 at night, there is still hope for a comeback.

But whether the guard wants to believe that 1 is a prophet is beyond his control.

As a civilian who was investigated and killed, he showed that he had tried his best. For that reason, if the good people still couldn't recognize him, then it wasn't his problem.

"The wolf pit I ordered now is 4, 6, 8, 9, 12. Four of the five of them got out of the wolf pit, and the one in the outside position couldn't play."

"The number 2 player under the police is Jin Shui. One of the 9 and 12 wolves has to be a wolf, right? The possibility of the four wolves calling the police is too small. Unless the speeches of 9 and 12 are particularly good and have highlights that can be recognized, otherwise If so, we have to find a wolf between the two of them."

"Player No. 6 self-destructed. This is a Dinglang. There is nothing much to say."

"Similarly, player No. 4 throws a kill to me. He is a jumping wolf. There is no need to talk about it."

"There is one wolf left, most likely player No. 8. Although I haven't heard his speech yet, this does not prevent me from naming him a wolf."

"It's one thing to look for wolves in speaking out, but it's another thing to look for wolves in a pit."

"To put it simply, the No. 8 player in my game entered the wolf pit because he was squeezed out."

"Let's talk about player No. 5 first. He is no longer Silver Water. After all, No. 6 is not a witch at all. But judging from No. 6's attitude towards him, I don't think No. 5 and No. 6 will meet."

"Player No. 6 reported that 5 was silver water, and also said that he suspected 5 and 7 of being trapped by two wolves to kill her, and even threatened that if 5 did not speak well and could not reveal his identity, he would pick her up and drop her off in the car."

"From this point, it can be seen that 6 is squeezing 5's identity. If 5 and 6 are both wolves, I don't think 6 will have such an attitude towards 5."

"Player No. 5 is even more interesting. He was really bluffed by 6. He was actually forced by 6 to not dare to test that 7 is a prophet, and he kept talking to 6 not to test that he is a wolf."

"As soon as such a statement came out, I didn't believe that 5 and 6 could be two wolves, so I recognized player No. 5."

"Player No. 11 said to the police that I don't look like a wolf, which is equivalent to giving me a thumbs up. The key is that he didn't want to take the lead and use me as a counter-push. This makes me think that he is not able to win the wolf card. ”

"Select 5, 7, and 11, and if 8 doesn't enter the wolf pit, who will? If you don't beat him, he is a wolf, and I'm afraid the wolf pit won't all be clicked."

"So Player No. 8, don't blame me for being a wolf in my blind spot. Think for yourself whether what I said makes sense. If you were in my position, how would you choose the wolf pit?"

"Of course, if player No. 8 has an identity, it means there are deep water wolves among players 5, 7, and 11. This is the most troublesome. It is not that difficult to find wolves among them."

The wolf pit chosen by player No. 3 is the same as what most good people think. This wolf pit is more logical, well-founded and can withstand scrutiny.

And this is the effect Ren Fan wants.

Although the identities of players 4 and 6 were exposed on the first day, these two people did not die in vain. Their identities were directly enhanced by his and player 7's identities. It can be said that they died well-deserved.

Now their situation is very safe, and the anti-push positions are all ready-made, namely 8, 9, and 12.

If any of these three people can push away one of them, the Wolf Saber will be enough.

After all, the witches are all dead. One more stab at the prophet at night. After finding the guards and hunters, two stabs will end the game.

"I'll say it one last time, I'm not a wolf. If I were a wolf, the police officer would never say that I would trade my life for a badge."

"And if I were a wolf, it would not be Player 6's turn to self-destruct. I should be the one to explode first. If I explode, I can swallow the poison. If No. 6 explodes, I will just eat the poison and leave. This is obviously not in line with the Wolves' profits."

"Believe me, I'm a good person. Guard to protect player No. 1. We'll see if the wolf swallows the police badge when we get up tomorrow."

"Okay, that's all my last words, civilians are leaving, so be it, it's over."

[Player No. 10 please speak]

"I've already talked to the police about what we should talk about. The guard went to guard 1 in the evening. He must be a prophet, because 3's speech means he can't be a wolf. If 4 is thrown to 3, he will be killed. There is no doubt that he will jump to the wolf."

"As long as the guards can guard Christmas Eve, they have a good chance of winning this game, because the pit positions are almost all lined up."

"If you gamble with the Wolves on your mentality and don't guard the No. 1 player, and the result is that No. 1 gets stabbed, wouldn't that be giving the Wolves rounds and opportunities in vain?"

"To be on the safe side, we'll guard Player 1. When we get up tomorrow, if Player 4 blows up, let him blow up. If he doesn't blow up, we'll take him out. Don't hesitate."

"There's nothing wrong with what he said to the police. The bad thing is that Player 3's demeanor is so different. I can tell he's not a wolf, so 4 naturally can't be a prophet."

"Guard player No. 1 tonight. When I get up tomorrow, I guess it will be Christmas Eve, because the wolf will most likely listen to player No. 6 and directly kill player No. 1. No gambling mentality."

"After guarding player No. 1 tonight, you can choose to guard in the air at night. Get up the next day and run out to the wolf, and then defend yourself. This way you can help the good guys get their turn back."

Player No. 10 has great faith in his side and judgment. Player No. 1 is definitely a prophet and cannot be wrong.

And the reason why he is so sure that 1 is the prophet is not because 1 can talk better than player 4. The logic behind him standing aside 1 and beating player 4 is that he is a wolf, and 3 is not a wolf.

Although it is slightly radical to side 1 based on this logic, he cannot win against the player No. 3.

In this situation, if the good guys still want to win, the guards must guard player No. 1, preferably until Christmas Eve.

Once this Christmas Eve comes out, the good guys must be at least 70% sure of making a comeback and reversing their current disadvantage.

"As for the wolf pit, Player No. 3 has already clicked on it just now, and it is exactly as I thought. The remaining two wolves are among 8, 9, and 12. Players No. 5, 7, and 11 are all now in the game. It’s not here anymore.”

"Especially the No. 7 player, how can they compete with the No. 6 and No. 7 Wolves? Unless they insist that they are deliberately trying to show their identities, it makes sense logically, but it is not appropriate to make such malicious speculations."

"If that's the case, player No. 11 cannot be released. He may have deliberately thought that player No. 3 is a good person to give him an identity. Player No. 5 cannot be released either. Players No. 5 and 6 are playing a trick."

"It is impossible to discuss such a small-probability event. Even if it is true, we cannot discuss it. We can only wait for 8, 9, and 12 to talk about it before we can discuss the issues of 5, 7, and 11."

"As far as the current speech is concerned, rounds 8, 9, and 12 are definitely ahead of 5, 7, and 11."

Player No. 10 didn't talk about anything new, and even ordered the same Wolf Pit as Player No. 3. Don't mess around with the guards when talking to them. You must guard Player No. 1 and don't gamble.

As for whether the guards would listen to him, it was hard to say.

If you are looking for stability, you must be a guard prophet, and there is a high probability that it will be a Christmas Eve, but if the guard wants to show off a wave of operations, it is really hard to say.

His performance doesn't matter, there are only two results, either the good guys will be defeated, or the Wolves will be destroyed.

Therefore, even though the Wolves and the good guys have vowed to go to 1 and defend 1, it is unknown whether they will do what they say.

"Player No. 1, I suggest you check Player No. 8 at night and rush to kill him."

"The analysis made by player No. 3 just now is very reasonable. We did not hear what No. 8 said, but this does not mean that he cannot be selected into the wolf pit."

"To be on the safe side, I think it would be better to check 8 on 1st night. What if 8 is a good person and there is a deep water wolf among 5, 7 and 11?"

"Of course, this possibility is indeed very low. Since we can identify 5, 7, and 11, we will not easily doubt their identities anymore."

"The policeman is a wolf. Player No. 2 is Jin Shui. There is no need to play. After all, 9 and 12 can't be two good people, right?"

"Unless one of them is a hunter and the other is a guard, I don't believe that this round is about four wolves calling the police."

"Think carefully about the police badge flow of player No. 4. He is double-pressing the upper policeman, and the lower policeman fails to test. What does it mean? It means that the lower policeman is trying to bring out his wolf teammate, and he does not need to deliberately hit the lower policeman's police badge. Stream canvassing.”

"Otherwise, as a wolf, why doesn't he beat the police badge thief to the police to canvass for votes?"

Player No. 10's thoughts are almost the same as those of Player 3. For example, he talked to Player No. 1 to check 8 at night, or he thought 5, 7, and 11 were good people. These are all things 3 just said.

At first glance, it seems that player No. 10 is following Feng 3’s speech and logic, but in fact that’s all the logic he can understand, what else can he say?

He is now afraid that the good guys are confused and do not believe that 1 is a prophet, so he still wants to stand aside 4, and that the 3 is a contrived wolf that he recognizes. If this is the case, the good guys will completely go away.

But as long as good people firmly believe that 1 is a prophet and remain unmoved no matter how the wolf deceives them, it's hard to say who will win.

[Please close your eyes when it gets dark]

After player No. 10 finished his last words, the system immediately announced that the game had entered dark night.

at the same time.

The official live broadcast room of the tournament league.

"Tsk, tsk, good guys are really fooled by Ren Fan's tricks."

"The good guys are probably going to lose this game again. Although the identities of players 4 and 6 have been exposed, the identities of Ren Chaofan and player 7 have been established. They can now be said to be invincible."

"Fortunately, this knife hit the witch, and the witch hadn't poisoned the wolf yet. Otherwise, the wolf team would have been in trouble, because 3, with such an expression, can't be a wolf no matter how you sound."

"It's really a great experience. I don't show off when I'm being investigated and killed. I can be recognized if I keep identifying people. I prefer to show off logically and be treated as a wolf. It doesn't make sense."

"This is the time to test the technical skills of the guards. Whether they can stay out until Christmas Eve."

"..."

[Werewolf, please open your eyes and choose the target you want to attack]

The system's beep sounded in Ren Fan's ears.

"Who's the knife?"

Player No. 4 asked bluntly.

Under normal circumstances, he must be the No. 1 player and cannot gamble. Once he gambles, the risk is very high.

Suppose they don't go to kill player 1 tonight, and the guard doesn't go to guard 1. If they go to kill player 1 tomorrow night, it will be Christmas Eve.

When the time comes, you will be able to apply for a two-day medical examination. This is a hammer game, and you will not be able to do it at all.

Of course.

If the guards guard player No. 1 honestly, and instead of taking the knife, they land the knife in the outside position, then they must have made a profit in vain.

But this knife is only effective if it hits the guard.

If it was a hunter who killed him, and the hunter shot him the next day, they would be self-defeating.

To put it bluntly, even if the hunter leads a good man, it will still have the effect of paving the way for traps, and then the living space of Ren Chaan and the others will become smaller.

Wouldn't it be embarrassing if the hunter accidentally brought it to Ren Fan or Player 7?

So, try not to give the hunter a chance to shoot.

But among so many people, the possibility of accurately hitting the guard with the knife is too small.

There is no use in using a knife to kill a civilian.

Therefore, Ren Fan still prefers to attack the prophet first, not seeking merit but seeking no fault.

"I think we should not do anything fancy and just use the knife 1. Christmas Eve is Christmas Eve. You can just blow yourself up when you get up tomorrow. Player No. 5 and I should be able to survive."

Player No. 7 said in a deep voice.

Now, they are afraid that the prophet will judge the person, so they cannot leave any hidden dangers. To be on the safe side, they will kill the prophet with two swords. If they can't kill him with one sword, they will kill him with two swords.

"Well, I think like player No. 7, attack the prophet first, and position outside unless we can attack the guard, otherwise it is not cost-effective."

Ren Fan said seriously.

"Okay, let's take Knife 1."

Player No. 4 shrugged. In fact, he wanted to bet No. 2 Gold Water. What if No. 2 was a guard?

But since both Ren Fan and Player No. 7 said that they should strike the prophet first, he didn't force it.

After all, what Ren Fan said makes sense. If you go to set up a sword outside at this time, unless you can accurately kill the guard, it is not as good as the sword prophet, even if the sword comes out on Christmas Eve.

Hitting the hunter at the outside position is, in a sense, helping the good guys chase the turn. If the hunter shoots, it means the Wolves are at risk. What if he leads the team correctly?

When the time comes for another good guy to appear, the Wolves will fall behind in the round.

If the sword was made by the people, it would be meaningless. This is not meant to slaughter the people. If the person using the sword to kill the gods was not a god, it would not make much sense.

In this case, it is better to cut down player No. 1 honestly, and then player No. 4 blows himself up. If 1 does not lose the card, then continue to cut down 1, without giving him a chance to report to the examiner.

At this point, there is no need for player No. 4 to bite the bullet and jump to the prophet with 1 pair. I am afraid that the good guys will not side with him. The 3rd plate belongs to the wolf.

The night operation was quickly over.

After dawn, the system did not directly announce the death result last night.

Instead, the Sheriff voting session continued.

In this case, the player under the police can vote 1 for the police badge to let him get the police badge.

But equally, the Wolves could also take the opportunity to blow themselves up and swallow the police badge, interrupting the Sheriff's vote.

burst!

After dawn, player No. 4 chose to self-destruct without thinking.

He will not let player No. 1 get the police badge, and take the personal verification information to the grave. He cannot report it under any circumstances. And as long as there is no police badge, no one can report it even if No. 1 is tested.

For prophets, police badges are the best way to convey their knowledge.

For example, player No. 1's police badge flow is 8 or 12. If he gets the police badge and he flips the cards and hands the badge to player No. 8, it means that player No. 8 is a good guy.

As a result, they lost an anti-push position for no reason. How could this be possible?

[Player No. 4 chose to self-destruct, please leave a last message]

"Did you guard the No. 1 player last night? If you didn't have a betting mentality and guarded the No. 1 player, it would be Christmas Eve. If you had a betting mentality and guarded the player in the outside position, then the 1 would be down."

"Anyway, we won 1 with a knife last night. After all, player No. 6 has stressed 1 with 1 knife so many times. We have to respect his opinion."

"Although I don't know how you guarded it, I hope you didn't guard the No. 1 player last night, but you were smart enough to guard the player from outside, so that we can make one more cut, and this cut will matter. It’s about the final victory or defeat.”

"Okay, I won't talk nonsense anymore. Let's take a look at the death result given by the system. That's it, it's over."