Chapter 186 Decision-Making Ideas

At this moment, Lu Ming deeply realized that under the current circumstances, whether he could find and capture the Doomsday Organization actually had little meaning.

Whether doomsday organizations exist or not has little bearing on the entire human civilization. The greatest significance of finding and capturing doomsday organizations is to confirm the authenticity of doomsday prophecies, and to use this to determine what response measures the human world will take next.

But now, through these peripheral evidences, the authenticity of the doomsday prophecies has been basically confirmed. Now that it has been confirmed, it doesn't matter whether or not to arrest the people of the Doomsday Organization.

At this moment, the minds of several people were all removed from the doomsday organization and placed on the doomsday prophecies.

At this moment, the atmosphere in the video conference room was as heavy as mercury.

Lu Ming sighed quietly and left his seat.

He came to the window of his hotel. He opened the curtains and looked out the window.

It was already night.

This is a small, unknown city. But even in a small city, the world outside the window is still full of neon lights, bright lights, and busy traffic. Opening the window, even though you are dozens of floors up, the noise from the surface world still pours in like a tide.

This powerful and prosperous human world, these hundreds of millions of ordinary people living in it, this stable and peaceful world... is it really going to be destroyed?

Lu Ming clenched his fist tightly for a long time, then slowly released it.

This was not something he could interfere with or even solve. Not only him, but the entire operations department, the entire Planetary Security Agency, and the entire human world are powerless to do anything about it.

We can only let fate decide.

Behind him, Zhang Dingshan's voice came from the video conference room.

"Anyway, let's report the latest progress to Director Li first."

He picked up the phone and dialed Li Wenhua's number.

"Director Li, there have been some new developments in the prophecy case. I think it is necessary to report to you."

He recounted his recent discoveries in detail. Then, on the other side of the microphone, Li Wenhua also fell silent.

If the last time I received a report and the doomsday prophecy described in it made me take it seriously at 1 level, then at this moment, the level at which I take it seriously is 100.

The development of things made the situation worse and worse.

At this moment, even though he was well-informed and had witnessed countless strange and mysterious events, he felt that it was not real enough.

He always felt that Zhang Dingshan was joking with him. He always felt that the next moment, Zhang Dingshan on the other side of the microphone would burst into laughter, and then say to himself, I am scaring you.

But my mind is clear that this is impossible.

Zhang Dingshan is not a person who likes to joke. He didn't dare to joke with himself.

After a long time, he said in a deep voice: "Give me all the case information."

"yes."

A piece of information was quickly sent.

"Received. Waiting for further notification."

"yes."

After hanging up the phone, he immediately downloaded the case information, started from the beginning, and looked at it carefully.

He is carefully analyzing every progress and turning point of the case, trying to figure out every idea of ​​​​the progress of the case, judging every logical connection, trying to find some flaws in it, so as to overturn the amazing story that Zhang Dingshan brought to him. in conclusion.

He knew in his heart that when it came to such a major incident, the people in the second action team must be cautious enough. It is unlikely that there are any errors in this dossier. But he still wanted to give it a try.

So he was disappointed as expected.

There are no flaws or loopholes. With the in-depth investigation of the second operation team, at the current stage, it is natural and inevitable to reach this conclusion.

He sighed and sent the file to the Information and Support Team of the Operations Division.

"Perhaps I have been negligent? One person's vision is always limited, and only the analysis of an entire team can be comprehensive."

Two hours later, the head of the information analysis and intelligence support team sent a message.

"There are no loopholes in Operation Team 2's file."

He shook his head, and the last trace of luck in his heart disappeared. Then he also dialed a number.

"There is an emergency that needs to be reported immediately."

…

This night, Li Wenhua did not leave the office, or even his desk. He waited until late at night without falling asleep. Until I was really sleepy, I lay down on the table and slept for a while.

In this case, once a call comes, he can receive it immediately.

The call came around five in the morning, before dawn. When the phone rang for the first time, he stood up immediately. When the phone rang for the second time, the last bit of sleepiness in his head completely dissipated.

He regained his clarity.

Grabbing the phone, a solemn voice reached his ears.

“Currently, there are two options available to decision-makers.

First, carry out mobilization to a limited extent. Among the possible safety zones of 6 million square kilometers calculated by your operations office in the early stage of simulation, select the best from the best and select 10,000 places with better geological conditions. In these 10,000 places, material reserves and limited personnel reserves.

Second, mobilize with greater intensity. The world government will mobilize more than 100 million people to build underground bases in the 10,000 places selected in the first plan. Due to limited time, the size of the underground base cannot be too large, but it can still meet earthquake resistance, seed reserves, energy and food reserves, fresh water reserves, and personnel reserves of no more than 300 people.

On behalf of the decision-makers, I am here to ask for your opinion. What suggestions do you have for these two options? "

Li Wenhua was silent for a moment and said, "I think we should probably consult a team of scientists on this issue."

On the opposite side of the microphone, the man said: "This kind of thing, from a certain aspect, is inherently unscientific."

If you ask a team of scientists about an event that can be called unscientific, what will be the result?

You know, even so far, the Asteroid Warning Center, as well as many other astronomical telescope bases that have also recently been assigned to the near-Earth asteroid search team, have not been able to discover the existence of asteroids that are serious enough to threaten the Earth.

Science is a rigorous subject. Scientists will only make judgments based on currently available information and theories. Since no asteroids large enough to threaten the Earth have been found, their suggestion must be to treat doomsday predictions as rumors. Don't react to it.

Therefore, their opinions can only be adopted at the scientific level. In the final decision-making stage, the overall situation should be considered and opinions from more aspects should be considered.

Li Wenhua thought about these two plans carefully and didn't speak for a long time.

"You have a day to think about it."

After hanging up the phone, Li Wenhua was stunned.

The doomsday prophecy was first revealed by the Operations Department. It is normal for decision-makers to ask the Operations Office for their opinions.

Then...it's normal to ask Operation Team 2 for their opinion.

After all, this was the first thing they discovered and told themselves.

They were involved in the entire incident and know the full details of the case best. The judgments they make have the most reference value.

He picked up the phone.

Later, in a hotel somewhere, after tossing and turning in the middle of the night, Lu Ming, who had just fallen into a deep sleep, was awakened by a rapid ringing of the phone. When the call was connected, Zhang Dingshan's solemn voice came out.

"Enter the video conference room immediately."

"yes."

After wiping his face and regaining some consciousness, Lu Ming quickly sat down in front of the computer without even having time to brush his teeth.

Zhang Dingshan and He Wei were already waiting inside. Lu Ming was the third to enter. Half a minute later, Lu Qingliang's figure also appeared among them.

Everyone is already here.

"Li Chu has reported this matter. The decision-makers are asking Li Chu for his opinion. But Li Chu believes that it is most appropriate for our second team to make a judgment on this matter."

Zhang Dingshan told the story in detail.

After hearing the two plans from the decision-makers of the World Government, everyone felt extremely solemn.

"Can everyone discuss what kind of judgment should be given to Li Chu?"

There was a long silence in the video conference room.

Everyone knows that every decision made by the decision-makers must take into account opinions and suggestions from all aspects and maximize risks and benefits. This is an extremely complex process.

It is impossible to make major decisions based on the advice of one source alone.

Just like now, the decision-makers must have considered all aspects, not only the tolerance of the human world, but also the scientific and technological capabilities and engineering capabilities of the human world, not only the consequences of false doomsday predictions, but also the consequences of false doomsday predictions. to the consequences of its being true, and so on and so forth.

but……

The suggestions and judgments from the second action team will almost certainly hold considerable weight in this decision-making mechanism. In other words, the judgments of the four people on our side at this moment can greatly affect the final decision of the decision-makers, and indirectly affect the future destiny of the human world.

This burden is indeed heavy.

After a long silence, Lu Qingliang spoke.

"I don't think I have the ability to make judgments on such an important issue. I abstain. No matter what decision and judgment you three make, I support it."

He Wei sighed and shook his head: "My mind is very confused right now and I can't make a clear judgment. I also abstain."

Then, only Zhang Dingshan and Lu Ming were left.

Zhang Dingshan lowered his eyelids and tapped his fingers on the table unconsciously. After a long while, he also said: "I also abstain. Lu Ming, please make this judgment on behalf of our second action team."

Lu Ming was silent.

"Lu Ming, no matter what judgment you make, it will be the collective judgment of our Second Operation Team. At the same time, Li Chu also told me that no matter what judgment our Second Operation Team makes, it will be the collective judgment of the entire Operation Team." , the collective judgment of the entire Planetary Security Agency.”

The pressure Lu Ming felt became even heavier.

He never thought that there would be a day when his judgment would hold a huge weight in the decision-making of the decision-makers, and could affect the fate of the entire human world and the future direction of all mankind.

A slight error in judgment could result in tens of millions of people dying, or countless wealth and resources going down the drain, and hundreds of millions of people's hard work wasted.

In essence, to some extent, I am deciding how future history books should be written - if there is still human civilization in the future.

He felt a little out of breath.

But he knows that this is a responsibility that he cannot escape.

The decision-makers asked the Operations Department for their opinions, the Operations Department asked the Second Action Team for their opinions, and the Second Operations Team asked for their own opinions. Layer by layer, the pressure finally fell on themselves. This is normal, and even inevitable.

Because he plays such a role in the second action team.

I have the obligation, and I am also the one most likely to have the ability to make the final judgment on this issue.

He shook his slightly dizzy head and murmured: "I thought the decision-makers would either not do it or never do it."

Either completely disbelieve doomsday prophecies and do nothing.

In this case, before the end comes, the human world will not be affected at all, and the greatest benefits will be gained.

If the end comes, be willing to admit defeat. There is nothing you can do about your eventual demise.

Either completely believe in the doomsday prophecies, mobilize the power of nearly 10 billion people around the world, and devote all resources to the cause of the continuation of human civilization.

In this case, if the doomsday does not come, the world will be in chaos for a while. If it comes, it will maintain the greatest probability of continuing human civilization.

As a result, the final choice of the decision-makers turned out to be what it is now.

Zhang Dingshan shook his head: "Only gamblers will bet all their chips on one possibility. A group must make multiple bets and take into account various possibilities. In the human world, the world government can accept a certain level of Waste and loss, even if this waste and loss are inevitable, we cannot accept all losses even with a small probability."

If the world government were a person, his strategy would be something like this.

If he has a total of 100 yuan in his hand, then he can accept 100% loss of 20 yuan, or even 30 yuan or 50 yuan.

But he couldn't accept the possibility of losing all 100 yuan even if there was only a 10% chance.

Because even if you lose 20 yuan, 30 yuan, or 50 yuan, as long as you still have money left in your hand, you can always make up for the lost money. But if you lose all 100 yuan, you will be completely ruined and there will never be a chance to turn around.

The decision-making idea of ​​the World Government is that no matter what the future situation is, we must ensure that we cannot lose all 100 pieces, and we must retain the hope of making a comeback in the future.

A larger degree of mobilization and a smaller degree of mobilization are the concrete manifestations of this decision-making idea.

The only difference lies in which strategy can best take into account two different futures and reduce losses to the greatest extent.

Lu Ming said silently: "I understand."

"You have one day to think about it. Within one day, you must make your final judgment."

"yes."

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