1159th Guardiola's Big Problem

For a head coach to succeed in European football, the right time, location, and harmony are all indispensable.

Those who are as strong as advanced, of course, can calmly choose the time and place that suits them, and then rely on their own ability to integrate the locker room, and even the club, so as to achieve harmony between people.

But there are exceptions to everything.

Guardiola is an exception in choosing to coach Bayern Munich.

Of course, this matter cannot be completely attributed to who is right and who is wrong, and there are many unpredictable factors mixed in it.

In the 12/13 season, after Heynckes' Bayern experienced the runner-up of the Champions League, they were the best in the league, but the Champions League group stage played a bit stumbled, including a 1-3 away loss to Borisov Bart.

Heynckes is very old, and his coaching contract with Bayern is until 2013, so he publicly stated at that time that he was exhausted and planned to leave after fulfilling the contract, and informed the Bayern management in advance.

This is the premise.

Under such circumstances, Bayern must make preparations in advance, especially considering that there were still famous coaches like Guardiola unemployed at the time. After Rummenigge and Hoeness confirmed Heynckes' determination, they immediately made preparations. Decided to start the selection.

Out of respect, everything was done in secret, including the secret contact with Guardiola in New York, USA, through Ferguson's connection, and no one knew from the beginning to the end.

After several contacts, Guardiola also wanted to try some of his own ideas in Bayern, so he accepted Bayern's invitation.

But after the two parties signed the contract, all-pervasive media reporters caught the news and immediately broke it, which created a very embarrassing situation. Heynckes was in office, but Guardiola was ready to take office.

The situation at that time was similar to now that Van Gaal was preparing to coach Manchester United and Hiddink was preparing to coach the Dutch national team.

What is even more embarrassing is that no one expected that after the second half, after Heynckes adjusted the team in place, the performance was out of control. To the Triple Crown.

Under such circumstances, Heynckes revealed that he could stay on and coach for one more year, but Bayern had already signed Guardiola, so they could only decline Heynckes.

In fact, at this moment, it is clear to everyone that everything is caused by accidents.

Bayern's management, locker room players, Heynckes and Guardiola, all insiders have no misunderstanding, but the outside media and fans are catching up on the wind and coming up with many so-called conspiracy theories.

But in this case, Guardiola's situation is very embarrassing and passive.

Because he took over a team that almost won the Triple Crown for two consecutive seasons.

It can be said that from the moment he took over Bayern, there is only one way for him to succeed in Bayern, and that is to lead the team to win the Triple Crown, or a more successful record than the Triple Crown.

But everyone knows, how is this possible?

Who can guarantee that this will be done?

What's more terrible is that after coaching Bayern, Guardiola encountered more problems and troubles.

Bear the brunt of the player adaptation problem.

Whether it is Guardiola or Bayern's management, there is a very realistic goal for Bayern under Guardiola, and that is dominance.

They all hope that Guardiola will turn Bayern into a dominant team.

For a long time, Bayern has always given people the feeling that they are more than strong, but not delicate. The team's combat ability is very strong, but there are not enough changes, especially the lack of control over the rhythm of the game. This is an old problem of Bayern and even German football.

Bayern under Hitzfeld's coaching is known for its defense. Later, when Klinsmann was invited, Bayern tried to reform the team's style, especially after seeing the reform that Klinsmann set off in the German national team. After the wave, Bayern's belief was further strengthened.

After Klinsmann's failure, Bayern chose Van Gaal, still a reformist.

It can be seen very clearly that although there have been successes and failures from Klinsmann to Van Gaal, Bayern's direction is clear, which reached a peak during Heynckes' coaching period.

In fact, Heynckes also improved and improved on the basis of Van Gaal and achieved success.

And Guardiola continued Van Gaal's system, hoping to go further.

On this point, has Bayern succeeded?

The answer is obvious.

In Gao Shen's previous life, Guardiola won the Bundesliga for three consecutive years and reached the semi-finals of the Champions League for three consecutive years. This report card is nothing to criticize.

The only regret is that Guardiola failed to bring Bayern a breakthrough in performance and win the Champions League.

Although, they have always been the most competitive giants in the Champions League.

Where is the problem?

Still have to go back to the original question.

It is difficult for Bayern players to adapt to Guardiola's style of play.

Not only Bayern, but also Manchester City later.

The success of the tiki-taka system in Barcelona has never been just a tactical success, but also the success of talented stars and talented coaches.

What does that mean?

Fans always like to attribute the success of a team to a certain superstar, a certain head coach, and a certain set of tactics. This is wrong!

Football is a team sport and a system of combat.

The success of any team must be the result of the coordinated operations of players, tactics, head coach, and even the management behind it.

Guardiola brought his tactics to Bayern and Manchester City, and he encountered the most serious problem, the players.

He can no longer find players like Messi, Xavi, Iniesta, and Busquets.

When he arrives at Bayern, he will find to his dismay that Bayern's players can also play with a high possession rate, but their offense is not threatening. Why?

Because of the lack of rhythm changes.

So why the lack of rhythm change?

In Barcelona, ​​there are many ways to suddenly change the rhythm of the game, Xavi's pass, Iniesta's push, Messi's breakthrough...

But these are not available at Bayern.

Even in terms of the most basic stability of possession, Bayern failed to meet his requirements.

Many people will wonder what an excellent midfielder Schweinsteiger is. Under Heynckes, he is the best midfielder in Europe, but why doesn't Guardiola use it?

Even prefer to use Lahm and Alaba to play the midfielder?

This is a tactical consideration.

Heynckes plays more as a double midfielder, and Schweinsteiger is one of them. Next to him, there will be a defensive midfielder with strong defensive capabilities, such as Vidal, Khedira, etc. .

But Guardiola's four three three is to play a single midfielder.

In the single midfielder system, especially in the strong dialogue, Schweinsteiger will expose his problems to the fullest.

...

"I'll show you a set of data."

Carlos Vargas switched the ppt on the big screen, which listed a set of comparative data.

"Schweinsteiger has been intercepted 1.6 times per game in the Bundesliga this season, and even reached 2.3 times in the 10/11 season. The rate is 90 percent."

"We can then compare other players."

"Xavi Alonso has 0.3 steals and 0.2 turnovers in La Liga. In the Champions League, both of these data are 0.1, and the pass success rate is 92%."

"Toni Kroos' steals in La Liga are 0.4, and the number of turnovers is also 0.4. If it is in the Champions League, the steals are 0.5, the turnovers are 0.3, and the pass success rate is 94.2%. Pay attention, Tony Kroos Rose is more up front."

"Barcelona's Busquets has 0.5 steals and 0.4 turnovers in La Liga. In the Champions League, he has 0.4 steals and slightly more turnovers, reaching 0.7. The pass success rate is 94.6%."

"Even if you don't compare with the outside teams, inside Bayern Munich, when Lahm played as a midfielder, the number of steals was 0.5, the number of turnovers was 0.4, and the pass success rate reached 94.3%."

Up to this point, the data has clearly told everyone why Guardiola used Ram to kick the midfielder, because Schweinsteiger made too many mistakes, especially because he was afraid of pressing.

The whole world knows that playing Barcelona is robbing Busquets, and playing Real Madrid is robbing Xavi Alonso.

But even when the opponent's tactical focus is restrained, Busquets and Harvey Alonso can still achieve this level. In comparison, is Schweinsteiger's mistake unacceptable?

In Real Madrid, Casemiro averaged 0.5 steals and 0.6 turnovers per game; Yin Liaramendi's two data were both 0.4, and the position of these two players in Real Madrid was a substitute for a single midfielder.

You know, in a strong dialogue, if a single midfielder is intercepted or a pass is missed, it is a one-on-one shot.

This is why Guardiola misses Toni Kroos so much.

If Toni Kroos hadn't come to Real Madrid, he was simply the best candidate for Guardiola's midfield.

But is Toni Kroos just fine?

Wrong, Toni Kroos has the excellent qualities of German players, that is, precision, focus and execution.

But he also has the weakness of German players, that is, he lacks creativity and does not have the ability to change rhythm.

It can be seen from the way Toni Kroos and Modric play. The former is stable and open, while the latter is very delicate, imaginative, and often changes the rhythm.

If the midfielders are all players like Toni Kroos, then the rhythm will be very problematic, and they will play steadily, without surprises; but if they are all players like Modric, stability will become a big problem.

That's why Real Madrid's best combination is Toni Kroos and Modric.

But the problem is that there is neither Toni Kroos nor Modric in the current Bayern Munich team!

Even if he is as strong as Guardiola, he cannot conjure these two types of players.

And Real Madrid wants to play Bayern, the answer is very clear.

"Don't think too much about it, we have specially arranged two targeted training sessions. In this game at the Bernabeu, we just want to suppress the midfielder and grab him directly. We will use this method to directly destroy Bayern Munich!"

Gao Shen is very confident and confident in this game.

"In addition, our frontcourt also needs to practice counter-attacking on the spot. It is still the same as before. If you don't grab the ball, you will delay. Now Bayern can't play fast in the frontcourt. We can make good use of this."

After grasping Bayern's seven inches, the targeted tactics are also very clear, so the next step is to conduct targeted drills.

In addition, Gao Shen is also very curious.

"I'm curious now, does he dare to let Lahm play in the back?" Gao Shen smiled maliciously.